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Washington", "season": "2024-25", "season_end_year": 2025, "stage": "regular", "historical_team_id": "6", "category": "totals", "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks", "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278078/stats?seasontype=2", "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "301-665", "fieldGoalPct": "45.3", "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "91-239", "threePointFieldGoalPct": "38.1", "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "143-198", "freeThrowPct": "72.2", "offensiveRebounds": "82", "assists": "131", "turnovers": "118", "points": "836" }, { "player_id": "4278078", "player": "P.J. Washington", "season": "2025-26", "season_end_year": 2026, "stage": "regular", "historical_team_id": "6", "category": "totals", "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks", "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278078/stats?seasontype=2", "fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted": "296-658", "fieldGoalPct": "45.0", "threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted": "76-234", "threePointFieldGoalPct": "32.5", "freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted": "125-182", "freeThrowPct": "68.7", "offensiveRebounds": "84", "assists": "98", "turnovers": "94", "points": "793" }, { "player_id": "4278078", "player": "P.J. Washington", "season": "2024-25", "season_end_year": 2025, "stage": "regular", "historical_team_id": "6", "category": "miscellaneous", "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks", "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278078/stats?seasontype=2", "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.1", "scoringEfficiency": "1.257", "shootingEfficiency": "0.52" }, { "player_id": "4278078", "player": "P.J. Washington", "season": "2025-26", "season_end_year": 2026, "stage": "regular", "historical_team_id": "6", "category": "miscellaneous", "current_team": "Dallas Mavericks", "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4278078/stats?seasontype=2", "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.0", "scoringEfficiency": "1.205", "shootingEfficiency": "0.51" } ], "current_season_separate": [ { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4278594", "player": "Naji Marshall", "starter": true, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395", "TO": "2", "FG": "7-14", "FT": "1-2", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "1-5", "PTS": "16", "AST": "3", "MIN": "24" }, { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4873153", "player": "Morez Johnson Jr.", "starter": true, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395", "TO": "0", "FG": "1-3", "FT": "1-2", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "1-3", "PTS": "4", "AST": "1", "MIN": "12" }, { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "5041939", "player": "Cooper Flagg", "starter": true, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395", "TO": "2", "FG": "7-14", "FT": "4-4", "OREB": "2", "3PT": "1-5", "PTS": "19", "AST": "3", "MIN": "19" }, { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "5211175", "player": "Zaccharie Risacher", "starter": true, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395", "TO": "1", "FG": "4-9", 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"Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4278049", "player": "Daniel Gafford", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395", "TO": "1", "FG": "3-4", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "1-1", "PTS": "7", "AST": "0", "MIN": "8" }, { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "5106040", "player": "Tobi Lawal", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395", "TO": "2", "FG": "5-6", "FT": "3-3", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "0-1", "PTS": "13", "AST": "0", "MIN": "15" }, { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "5148538", "player": "Tarik Biberovic", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395", "TO": "0", "FG": "3-9", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "2", "3PT": "3-8", "PTS": "9", "AST": "2", "MIN": "19" }, { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "5279129", "player": "Sergio de Larrea", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395", "TO": "4", "FG": "4-6", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "3-3", "PTS": "11", "AST": "6", "MIN": "24" }, { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4701208", "player": "Moussa Cisse", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395", "TO": "2", "FG": "0-3", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "2", "3PT": "0-0", "PTS": "0", "AST": "3", "MIN": "14" }, { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4431775", "player": "Seth Lundy", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395", "TO": "1", "FG": "1-4", "FT": "0-2", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "1-4", "PTS": "3", "AST": "0", "MIN": "14" }, { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4898238", "player": "John Poulakidas", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395", "TO": "1", "FG": "1-3", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "1-3", "PTS": "3", "AST": "2", "MIN": "14" }, { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "5105806", "player": "Jett Howard", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395", "TO": "1", "FG": "3-6", "FT": "1-2", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "1-3", "PTS": "8", "AST": "3", "MIN": "16" }, { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "3138160", "player": "Caleb Martin", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "COACH'S DECISION", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395" }, { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4278078", "player": "P.J. Washington", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "COACH'S DECISION", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395" }, { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4593125", "player": "Santi Aldama", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "COACH'S DECISION", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395" }, { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4683688", "player": "Dereck Lively II", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "COACH'S DECISION", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395" }, { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "6442", "player": "Kyrie Irving", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "COACH'S DECISION", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395" }, { "event_id": "401898395", "date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4432107", "player": "Marcus Sasser", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "COACH'S DECISION", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898395" } ], "reference_date": "2026-10-09T12:00Z", "reference_kind": "latest observed game; not assumed to be engine baseline", "opportunity_status": "ACTUAL_IN_PROGRESS_ROLE_REPORT", "baseline_exposure": "Team score aggregates do not identify player-weighted healthy/reference exposure. Any player-rate correction would be sensitivity, not calibrated correction.", "numerical_conversion_status": "UNESTIMATED_ALLOWED: no validated incremental run/PPP/goal conversion; no PPG/OPS/points subtraction", "base_scores_away_home": {}, "adjusted_scores_away_home": {}, "scores_carried_for_research": {}, "adjusted_score_status": "Base retained as base; adjusted score unestimated. No claim null adjustment is zero.", "gate_outcome": "EXCLUDED_NEW_PREGAME_FORECAST", "football_minus3": 0, "sources": [ "https://www.nba.com/news/2026-nba-china-games-everything-to-know" ], "collector_source": "C:\\Users\\Owner\\Documents\\EmilyCarter\\output\\Offensive-Replacement-Tracking\\capture-20261011T111921Z", "price_inputs_used": false, "transaction_review_notes": "No October trades returned by official NBA page at capture; loading-state blocker resolved. This is a source no-record result, not an independent guarantee of exhaustive history.", "uncertainty": "Conditional role projection; source snapshot is not a confirmed game lineup. Aggregate engine baseline has unknown player-weighted exposure; calculations are sensitivities only.", "current_roster_availability": [ { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4593125", "player": "Santi Aldama", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [ { "status": "Day-To-Day", "date": "2026-10-11T09:53Z" } ], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "5148538", "player": "Tarik Biberovic", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4432582", "player": "Max Christie", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4701208", "player": "Moussa Cisse", "position": "C", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "5279129", "player": "Sergio de Larrea", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "5041939", "player": "Cooper Flagg", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4278049", "player": "Daniel Gafford", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "5105806", "player": "Jett Howard", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "6442", "player": "Kyrie Irving", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4873153", "player": "Morez Johnson Jr.", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [ { "status": "Day-To-Day", "date": "2026-10-11T09:47Z" } ], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "5106040", "player": "Tobi Lawal", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4683688", "player": "Dereck Lively II", "position": "C", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [ { "status": "Day-To-Day", "date": "2026-10-11T09:50Z" } ], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4431775", "player": "Seth Lundy", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4278594", "player": "Naji Marshall", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "3138160", "player": "Caleb Martin", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4898238", "player": "John Poulakidas", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "2531367", "player": "Dwight Powell", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "5211175", "player": "Zaccharie Risacher", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4432107", "player": "Marcus Sasser", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [ { "status": "Day-To-Day", "date": "2026-10-11T09:55Z" } ], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/6/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "6", "team": "Dallas Mavericks", "player_id": "4278078", "player": "P.J. 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"player": "Meleek Thomas", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898392", "TO": "1", "FG": "5-13", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "1-7", "PTS": "11", "AST": "2", "MIN": "23" }, { "event_id": "401898392", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "5106268", "player": "Nae'Qwan Tomlin", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "COACH'S DECISION", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898392" }, { "event_id": "401898392", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "4997530", "player": "Khalifa Diop", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "COACH'S DECISION", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898392" }, { "event_id": "401898392", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "3992", "player": "James Harden", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "COACH'S DECISION", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898392" }, { "event_id": "401898392", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "4701845", "player": "Kadary Richmond", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "COACH'S DECISION", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898392" } ], "offensive_adjustment": null, "transaction_review_status": "Official October Trade/All Teams rendered page returned no records at05:39UTC; current-day source evidence preserved, not claimed exhaustive independent confirmation", "transaction_source": "C:\\Users\\Owner\\Documents\\EmilyCarter\\output\\FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-11-Research\\offensive\\nba-transaction-rendered-check.json", "transaction_date": null, "former_team": null, "new_team": null, "trade_player_id": null, "trade_player": null, "pre_trade_role": null, "expected_post_trade_role": null, "trade_offensive_adjustment": null, "trade_defensive_adjustment": null, "trade_adjustment_units": "points", "adjustment_units": "points", "reason": "Requires event-specific replacement and transaction confirmation; blank adjustments are unestimated, not zero", "overlay_version": "offensive-replacement-v1", "version": "event-review-2026-10-11-retry-v2", "reviewed_utc": "2026-10-11T11:27:06.352233+00:00", "findings": "Oct8 actual starters included Tyson/Mitchell/Watson with Mobley/Allen; Porter supplied bench creation. 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"shootingEfficiency": "0.53" }, { "player_id": "4576087", "player": "Peyton Watson", "season": "2025-26", "season_end_year": 2026, "stage": "regular", "historical_team_id": "7", "category": "miscellaneous", "current_team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4576087/stats?seasontype=2", "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.2", "scoringEfficiency": "1.358", "shootingEfficiency": "0.56" } ], "current_season_separate": [ { "event_id": "401898392", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "4066328", "player": "Jarrett Allen", "starter": true, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898392", "TO": "1", "FG": "3-5", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "0-0", "PTS": "6", "AST": "0", "MIN": "17" }, { "event_id": "401898392", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Cleveland 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"player": "Zack Austin", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898392", "TO": "0", "FG": "0-1", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "0-0", "PTS": "0", "AST": "0", "MIN": "1" }, { "event_id": "401898392", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "5177362", "player": "Riley Minix", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898392", "TO": "0", "FG": "2-10", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "2", "3PT": "0-5", "PTS": "4", "AST": "3", "MIN": "15" }, { "event_id": "401898392", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "3934723", "player": "Thomas Bryant", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": 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"AST": "1", "MIN": "10" }, { "event_id": "401898392", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "4701233", "player": "Craig Porter Jr.", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898392", "TO": "0", "FG": "2-3", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "1-2", "PTS": "5", "AST": "10", "MIN": "16" }, { "event_id": "401898392", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "4898369", "player": "Curtis Jones", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898392", "TO": "0", "FG": "0-1", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "0-1", "PTS": "0", "AST": "0", "MIN": "1" }, { "event_id": "401898392", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "5023693", "player": "Tyrese Proctor", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898392", "TO": "1", "FG": "2-6", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "1-3", "PTS": "5", "AST": "1", "MIN": "21" }, { "event_id": "401898392", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "5041951", "player": "Meleek Thomas", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898392", "TO": "1", "FG": "5-13", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "1-7", "PTS": "11", "AST": "2", "MIN": "23" }, { "event_id": "401898392", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "5106268", "player": "Nae'Qwan Tomlin", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "COACH'S DECISION", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898392" }, { "event_id": "401898392", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "4997530", "player": "Khalifa Diop", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "COACH'S DECISION", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898392" }, { "event_id": "401898392", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "3992", "player": "James Harden", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "COACH'S DECISION", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898392" }, { "event_id": "401898392", "date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "4701845", "player": "Kadary Richmond", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "COACH'S DECISION", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898392" } ], "reference_date": "2026-10-08T23:00Z", "reference_kind": "latest observed game; not assumed to be engine baseline", "opportunity_status": "CONDITIONAL_240_MINUTE_AND_SHOT_CREATION_ALLOCATION", "baseline_exposure": "Team score aggregates do not identify player-weighted healthy/reference exposure. Any player-rate correction would be sensitivity, not calibrated correction.", "numerical_conversion_status": "UNESTIMATED_ALLOWED: no validated incremental run/PPP/goal conversion; no PPG/OPS/points subtraction", "base_scores_away_home": { "Classic": [ 114.07926829268294, 118.8170731707317 ], "Primary": [ 111.9572317002188, 116.0849643591359 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 115.57926950000001, 117.310975 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 115.57926950000001, 117.310975 ] }, "adjusted_scores_away_home": { "Classic": null, "Primary": null, "Tighten Up ON": null, "Tighten Up OFF": null }, "scores_carried_for_research": { "Classic": [ 114.07926829268294, 118.8170731707317 ], "Primary": [ 111.9572317002188, 116.0849643591359 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 115.57926950000001, 117.310975 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 115.57926950000001, 117.310975 ] }, "adjusted_score_status": "Base retained as base; adjusted score unestimated. No claim null adjustment is zero.", "gate_outcome": "TRACKING_ONLY_CONDITIONAL", "football_minus3": 0, "sources": [ "https://www.nba.com/player/1631215/khalifa-diop/profile" ], "collector_source": "C:\\Users\\Owner\\Documents\\EmilyCarter\\output\\Offensive-Replacement-Tracking\\capture-20261011T111921Z", "price_inputs_used": false, "transaction_review_notes": "No October trades returned by official NBA page at capture; loading-state blocker resolved. This is a source no-record result, not an independent guarantee of exhaustive history.", "uncertainty": "Conditional role projection; source snapshot is not a confirmed game lineup. Aggregate engine baseline has unknown player-weighted exposure; calculations are sensitivities only.", "current_roster_availability": [ { "team_id": "5", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "4593815", "player": "Rashaun Agee", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/5/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "5", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "4066328", "player": "Jarrett Allen", "position": "C", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/5/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "5", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "4702099", "player": "Zack Austin", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/5/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "5", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "3934723", "player": "Thomas Bryant", "position": "C", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/5/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "5", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "4997530", "player": "Khalifa Diop", "position": "C", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [ { "status": "Day-To-Day", "date": "2026-10-08T22:49Z" } ], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/5/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "5", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "4431734", "player": "Tristan Enaruna", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/5/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "5", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "3992", "player": "James Harden", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [ { "status": "Day-To-Day", "date": "2026-10-08T22:42Z" } ], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/5/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "5", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "2995706", "player": "Mario Hezonja", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/5/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "5", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "4898369", "player": "Curtis Jones", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/5/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "5", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "4066757", "player": "Sam Merrill", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/5/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "5", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "5177362", "player": "Riley Minix", 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"https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/5/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "5", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "4683747", "player": "Jaylon Tyson", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/5/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "5", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "5106261", "player": "Ernest Udeh Jr.", "position": "C", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/5/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "5", "team": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "player_id": "4576087", "player": "Peyton Watson", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/5/roster?season=2027" } ] }, { "sport": "NBA", "event_id": "401898401", "team": "Orlando Magic", "review_status": 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Observed FGA/3PA/FTA kept as explicit fixed-shot-volume scenario. 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0.0, "conditional_FTA": 0.0, "conditional_FGA_share": 0.0, "conditional_FTA_share": 0.0, "reference_creation_assist_share": 0.0, "reference_AST": 0, "reference_TO": 0, "reference_OREB": 0, "reference_eFG": null, "reference_TS_proxy": null }, { "player_id": "4432165", "player": "Jalen Suggs", "reference_starter": false, "reference_minutes": 0, "reference_DNP_reason": "DID NOT DRESS - INJURY/ILLNESS", "conditional_minutes": 0, "conditional_FGA": 0.0, "conditional_3PA": 0.0, "conditional_FTA": 0.0, "conditional_FGA_share": 0.0, "conditional_FTA_share": 0.0, "reference_creation_assist_share": 0.0, "reference_AST": 0, "reference_TO": 0, "reference_OREB": 0, "reference_eFG": null, "reference_TS_proxy": null }, { "player_id": "4712849", "player": "Anthony Black", "reference_starter": false, "reference_minutes": 0, "reference_DNP_reason": "DID NOT DRESS - INJURY/ILLNESS", "conditional_minutes": 0, "conditional_FGA": 0.0, "conditional_3PA": 0.0, "conditional_FTA": 0.0, "conditional_FGA_share": 0.0, "conditional_FTA_share": 0.0, "reference_creation_assist_share": 0.0, "reference_AST": 0, "reference_TO": 0, "reference_OREB": 0, "reference_eFG": null, "reference_TS_proxy": null } ], "return_branch": "If a previously inactive veteran returns, this replay is invalid and role allocation reopens. No source-supported return workload was announced in reviewed sources." }, "reference_lineup": [ { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4432573", "player": "Paolo Banchero", "starter": true, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "2", "FG": "2-7", "FT": "7-10", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "0-2", "PTS": "11", "AST": "5", "MIN": "15" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4566434", "player": "Franz Wagner", "starter": true, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "1", "FG": "2-7", "FT": "2-2", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "0-3", "PTS": "6", "AST": "7", "MIN": "14" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4277847", "player": "Wendell Carter Jr.", "starter": true, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "0", "FG": "5-7", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "3-4", "PTS": "13", "AST": "2", "MIN": "15" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4066320", "player": "Desmond Bane", "starter": true, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "1", "FG": "3-3", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "3-3", "PTS": "9", "AST": "1", "MIN": "13" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "5239561", "player": "Jase Richardson", "starter": true, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "0", "FG": "1-2", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "1-2", "PTS": "3", "AST": "3", "MIN": "23" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4278075", "player": "Kevin Knox II", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "0", "FG": "3-8", "FT": "4-4", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "1-4", "PTS": "11", "AST": "0", "MIN": "13" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4278572", "player": "Jamal Cain", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "1", "FG": "6-9", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "3-6", "PTS": "15", "AST": "1", "MIN": "22" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4565201", "player": "Malaki Branham", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "3", "FG": "2-7", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "3", "3PT": "1-1", "PTS": "5", "AST": "0", "MIN": "13" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4702382", "player": "Tristan da Silva", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "0", "FG": "6-16", "FT": "3-4", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "4-10", "PTS": "19", "AST": "2", "MIN": "25" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "6478", "player": "Nikola Vucevic", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "0", "FG": "3-3", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "3-3", "PTS": "9", "AST": "1", "MIN": "12" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4348700", "player": "Goga Bitadze", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "1", "FG": "3-4", "FT": "1-2", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "0-0", "PTS": "7", "AST": "0", "MIN": "13" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4397204", "player": "Colin Castleton", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "2", "FG": "2-2", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "0-0", "PTS": "4", "AST": "0", "MIN": "8" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "3133635", "player": "Jevon Carter", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "2", "FG": "1-3", "FT": "2-2", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "1-3", "PTS": "5", "AST": "6", "MIN": "19" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4576085", "player": "JD Davison", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "0", "FG": "0-4", "FT": "1-2", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "0-2", "PTS": "1", "AST": "5", "MIN": "10" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4593034", "player": "Alex Morales", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "1", "FG": "2-5", "FT": "0-2", "OREB": "5", "3PT": "0-2", "PTS": "4", "AST": "2", "MIN": "24" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4065654", "player": "Jonathan Isaac", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "PERSONAL", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "5107251", "player": "Izaiyah Nelson", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "COACH'S DECISION", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "5214637", "player": "Noah Penda", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "DID NOT DRESS - INJURY/ILLNESS", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4432165", "player": "Jalen Suggs", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "DID NOT DRESS - INJURY/ILLNESS", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4712849", "player": "Anthony Black", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "DID NOT DRESS - INJURY/ILLNESS", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391" } ], "offensive_adjustment": null, "transaction_review_status": "Official October Trade/All Teams rendered page returned no records at05:39UTC; current-day source evidence preserved, not claimed exhaustive independent confirmation", "transaction_source": "C:\\Users\\Owner\\Documents\\EmilyCarter\\output\\FrontPageCrew-Sports-2026-10-11-Research\\offensive\\nba-transaction-rendered-check.json", "transaction_date": null, "former_team": null, "new_team": null, "trade_player_id": null, "trade_player": null, "pre_trade_role": null, "expected_post_trade_role": null, "trade_offensive_adjustment": null, "trade_defensive_adjustment": null, "trade_adjustment_units": "points", "adjustment_units": "points", "reason": "Requires event-specific replacement and transaction confirmation; blank adjustments are unestimated, not zero", "overlay_version": "offensive-replacement-v1", "version": "event-review-2026-10-11-retry-v2", "reviewed_utc": "2026-10-11T11:27:06.352233+00:00", "findings": "Oct7 actual Richardson started while Suggs/Black did not dress; Richardson/Carter/Davison provide observed ballhandling branch. 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"0", "FG": "3-3", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "3-3", "PTS": "9", "AST": "1", "MIN": "12" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4348700", "player": "Goga Bitadze", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "1", "FG": "3-4", "FT": "1-2", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "0-0", "PTS": "7", "AST": "0", "MIN": "13" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4397204", "player": "Colin Castleton", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "2", "FG": "2-2", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "0-0", "PTS": "4", "AST": "0", "MIN": "8" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "3133635", "player": "Jevon Carter", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "2", "FG": "1-3", "FT": "2-2", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "1-3", "PTS": "5", "AST": "6", "MIN": "19" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4576085", "player": "JD Davison", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "0", "FG": "0-4", "FT": "1-2", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "0-2", "PTS": "1", "AST": "5", "MIN": "10" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4593034", "player": "Alex Morales", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391", "TO": "1", "FG": "2-5", "FT": "0-2", "OREB": "5", "3PT": "0-2", "PTS": "4", "AST": "2", "MIN": "24" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4065654", "player": "Jonathan Isaac", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "PERSONAL", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "5107251", "player": "Izaiyah Nelson", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "COACH'S DECISION", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "5214637", "player": "Noah Penda", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "DID NOT DRESS - INJURY/ILLNESS", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4432165", "player": "Jalen Suggs", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "DID NOT DRESS - INJURY/ILLNESS", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391" }, { "event_id": "401898391", "date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4712849", "player": "Anthony Black", "starter": false, "did_not_play": true, "reason": "DID NOT DRESS - INJURY/ILLNESS", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401898391" } ], "reference_date": "2026-10-08T00:00Z", "reference_kind": "latest observed game; not assumed to be engine baseline", "opportunity_status": "CONDITIONAL_240_MINUTE_AND_SHOT_CREATION_ALLOCATION", "baseline_exposure": "Team score aggregates do not identify player-weighted healthy/reference exposure. Any player-rate correction would be sensitivity, not calibrated correction.", "numerical_conversion_status": "UNESTIMATED_ALLOWED: no validated incremental run/PPP/goal conversion; no PPG/OPS/points subtraction", "base_scores_away_home": { "Classic": [ 114.07926829268294, 118.8170731707317 ], "Primary": [ 111.9572317002188, 116.0849643591359 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 115.57926950000001, 117.310975 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 115.57926950000001, 117.310975 ] }, "adjusted_scores_away_home": { "Classic": null, "Primary": null, "Tighten Up ON": null, "Tighten Up OFF": null }, "scores_carried_for_research": { "Classic": [ 114.07926829268294, 118.8170731707317 ], "Primary": [ 111.9572317002188, 116.0849643591359 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 115.57926950000001, 117.310975 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 115.57926950000001, 117.310975 ] }, "adjusted_score_status": "Base retained as base; adjusted score unestimated. No claim null adjustment is zero.", "gate_outcome": "TRACKING_ONLY_CONDITIONAL", "football_minus3": 0, "sources": [], "collector_source": "C:\\Users\\Owner\\Documents\\EmilyCarter\\output\\Offensive-Replacement-Tracking\\capture-20261011T111921Z", "price_inputs_used": false, "transaction_review_notes": "No October trades returned by official NBA page at capture; loading-state blocker resolved. This is a source no-record result, not an independent guarantee of exhaustive history.", "uncertainty": "Conditional role projection; source snapshot is not a confirmed game lineup. Aggregate engine baseline has unknown player-weighted exposure; calculations are sensitivities only.", "current_roster_availability": [ { "team_id": "19", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4432573", "player": "Paolo Banchero", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/19/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "19", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4066320", "player": "Desmond Bane", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/19/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "19", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4348700", "player": "Goga Bitadze", "position": "C", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/19/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "19", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4712849", "player": 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"reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/19/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "19", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4065654", "player": "Jonathan Isaac", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [ { "status": "Day-To-Day", "date": "2026-10-06T15:42Z" } ], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/19/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "19", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4278075", "player": "Kevin Knox II", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/19/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "19", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4593034", "player": "Alex Morales", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/19/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "19", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "5107251", "player": "Izaiyah Nelson", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [ { "status": "Out", "date": "2026-09-28T21:33Z" } ], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/19/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "19", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "5214637", "player": "Noah Penda", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [ { "status": "Day-To-Day", "date": "2026-10-07T23:40Z" } ], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/19/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "19", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "5239561", "player": "Jase Richardson", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/19/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "19", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4432165", "player": "Jalen Suggs", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [ { "status": "Day-To-Day", "date": "2026-10-10T18:53Z" } ], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/19/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "19", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "6478", "player": "Nikola Vucevic", "position": "C", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/19/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "19", "team": "Orlando Magic", "player_id": "4566434", "player": "Franz Wagner", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/19/roster?season=2027" } ] }, { "sport": "NBA", "event_id": "401901821", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "review_status": "CONDITIONAL_OPPORTUNITY_COMPARISON_COMPLETED", "incumbent_id": null, "replacement_ids": null, "expected_opportunities": { "scenario": "If the most recent observed preseason rotation 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"season_end_year": 2026, "stage": "regular", "historical_team_id": "30", "category": "miscellaneous", "current_team": "Charlotte Hornets", "source": "https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/basketball/nba/athletes/4066218/stats?seasontype=2", "assistTurnoverRatio": "1.8", "scoringEfficiency": "1.377", "shootingEfficiency": "0.57" } ], "current_season_separate": [ { "event_id": "401901820", "date": "2026-10-06T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4433249", "player": "Moussa Diabate", "starter": true, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401901820", "TO": "4", "FG": "1-1", "FT": "2-4", "OREB": "3", "3PT": "0-0", "PTS": "4", "AST": "1", "MIN": "20" }, { "event_id": "401901820", "date": "2026-10-06T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4396971", "player": "Naz Reid", "starter": true, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401901820", "TO": "3", "FG": "3-9", "FT": "6-7", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "1-5", "PTS": "13", "AST": "0", "MIN": "16" }, { "event_id": "401901820", "date": "2026-10-06T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "3032979", "player": "Dennis Schroder", "starter": true, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401901820", "TO": "0", "FG": "2-5", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "1-1", "PTS": "5", "AST": "2", "MIN": "15" }, { "event_id": "401901820", "date": "2026-10-06T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "3135045", "player": "Grayson Allen", "starter": true, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401901820", "TO": "1", "FG": "4-6", "FT": "2-2", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "3-3", "PTS": "13", "AST": "1", "MIN": "14" }, { "event_id": "401901820", "date": "2026-10-06T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "5239590", "player": "Liam McNeeley", "starter": true, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401901820", "TO": "6", "FG": "5-8", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "4-6", "PTS": "14", "AST": "0", "MIN": "19" }, { "event_id": "401901820", "date": "2026-10-06T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "2583632", "player": "Royce O'Neale", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401901820", "TO": "1", "FG": "1-4", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "1-4", "PTS": "3", "AST": "5", "MIN": "17" }, { "event_id": "401901820", "date": "2026-10-06T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4897504", "player": "Wyatt Fricks", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401901820", "TO": "0", "FG": "1-3", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "0-1", "PTS": "2", "AST": "0", "MIN": "13" }, { "event_id": "401901820", "date": "2026-10-06T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "5211176", "player": "Tidjane Salaun", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401901820", "TO": "3", "FG": "2-7", "FT": "1-3", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "1-3", "PTS": "6", "AST": "1", "MIN": "28" }, { "event_id": "401901820", "date": "2026-10-06T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "5281370", "player": "Hannes Steinbach", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401901820", "TO": "0", "FG": "2-4", "FT": "3-4", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "0-0", "PTS": "7", "AST": "0", "MIN": "14" }, { "event_id": "401901820", "date": "2026-10-06T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4576060", "player": "Ryan Kalkbrenner", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401901820", "TO": "0", "FG": "0-1", "FT": "2-2", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "0-0", "PTS": "2", "AST": "0", "MIN": "15" }, { "event_id": "401901820", "date": "2026-10-06T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4701225", "player": "PJ Hall", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401901820", "TO": "3", "FG": "1-3", "FT": "1-2", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "1-3", "PTS": "4", "AST": "0", "MIN": "8" }, { "event_id": "401901820", "date": "2026-10-06T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "2578239", "player": "Pat Connaughton", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401901820", "TO": "1", "FG": "0-3", "FT": "1-2", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "0-3", "PTS": "1", "AST": "3", "MIN": "9" }, { "event_id": "401901820", "date": "2026-10-06T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4278729", "player": "Jarkel Joiner", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401901820", "TO": "0", "FG": "2-4", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "1-1", "PTS": "5", "AST": "3", "MIN": "14" }, { "event_id": "401901820", "date": "2026-10-06T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4602025", "player": "Sion James", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401901820", "TO": "1", "FG": "3-7", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "0", "3PT": "2-4", "PTS": "8", "AST": "0", "MIN": "17" }, { "event_id": "401901820", "date": "2026-10-06T23:00Z", "stage": "preseason", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "5176517", "player": "Michael Ajayi", "starter": false, "did_not_play": false, "reason": null, "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/summary?event=401901820", "TO": "2", "FG": "1-5", "FT": "0-0", "OREB": "1", "3PT": "1-2", "PTS": "3", "AST": "3", "MIN": "19" } ], "reference_date": "2026-10-06T23:00Z", "reference_kind": "latest observed game; not assumed to be engine baseline", "opportunity_status": "CONDITIONAL_240_MINUTE_AND_SHOT_CREATION_ALLOCATION", "baseline_exposure": "Team score aggregates do not identify player-weighted healthy/reference exposure. Any player-rate correction would be sensitivity, not calibrated correction.", "numerical_conversion_status": "UNESTIMATED_ALLOWED: no validated incremental run/PPP/goal conversion; no PPG/OPS/points subtraction", "base_scores_away_home": { "Classic": [ 109.40853658536585, 117.92682926829269 ], "Primary": [ 108.42657806213404, 114.65531318147141 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 110.90854, 116.42682500000001 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 110.90854, 116.42682500000001 ] }, "adjusted_scores_away_home": { "Classic": null, "Primary": null, "Tighten Up ON": null, "Tighten Up OFF": null }, "scores_carried_for_research": { "Classic": [ 109.40853658536585, 117.92682926829269 ], "Primary": [ 108.42657806213404, 114.65531318147141 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 110.90854, 116.42682500000001 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 110.90854, 116.42682500000001 ] }, "adjusted_score_status": "Base retained as base; adjusted score unestimated. No claim null adjustment is zero.", "gate_outcome": "TRACKING_ONLY_CONDITIONAL", "football_minus3": 0, "sources": [ "https://www.nba.com/news/coby-white-preseason-calf-strain", "https://www.nba.com/game/bkn-vs-cha-0012600025/box-score" ], "collector_source": "C:\\Users\\Owner\\Documents\\EmilyCarter\\output\\Offensive-Replacement-Tracking\\capture-20261011T111921Z", "price_inputs_used": false, "transaction_review_notes": "No October trades returned by official NBA page at capture; loading-state blocker resolved. This is a source no-record result, not an independent guarantee of exhaustive history.", "uncertainty": "Conditional role projection; source snapshot is not a confirmed game lineup. Aggregate engine baseline has unknown player-weighted exposure; calculations are sensitivities only.", "current_roster_availability": [ { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "3135045", "player": "Grayson Allen", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "5060701", "player": "Christian Anderson", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [ { "status": "Day-To-Day", "date": "2026-10-06T21:16Z" } ], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4684269", "player": "Kylan Boswell", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [ { "status": "Day-To-Day", "date": "2026-10-05T21:28Z" } ], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "2578239", "player": "Pat Connaughton", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4433249", "player": "Moussa Diabate", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4897504", "player": "Wyatt Fricks", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4701225", "player": "PJ Hall", "position": "C", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4602025", "player": "Sion James", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4278729", "player": "Jarkel Joiner", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4576060", "player": "Ryan Kalkbrenner", "position": "C", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "5061575", "player": "Kon Knueppel", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [ { "status": "Day-To-Day", "date": "2026-09-28T14:25Z" } ], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "5239590", "player": "Liam McNeeley", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4433287", "player": "Brandon Miller", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [ { "status": "Day-To-Day", "date": "2026-10-06T21:21Z" } ], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "2583632", "player": "Royce O'Neale", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4396971", "player": "Naz Reid", "position": "C", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "5211176", "player": "Tidjane Salaun", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "3032979", "player": "Dennis Schroder", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "5281370", "player": "Hannes Steinbach", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4395651", "player": "Coby White", "position": "G", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [ { "status": "Day-To-Day", "date": "2026-10-05T20:56Z" } ], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" }, { "team_id": "30", "team": "Charlotte Hornets", "player_id": "4066218", "player": "Grant Williams", "position": "F", "reported_status": "Active", "injuries": [ { "status": "Day-To-Day", "date": "2026-09-25T23:03Z" } ], "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/basketball/nba/teams/30/roster?season=2027" } ] }, { "sport": "NBA", "event_id": "401901821", "team": "Milwaukee Bucks", "review_status": "CONDITIONAL_OPPORTUNITY_COMPARISON_COMPLETED", "incumbent_id": null, "replacement_ids": null, "expected_opportunities": { "scenario": "If the most recent observed preseason rotation repeats", "status": "ANALYST CONDITIONAL REPLAY, not coach minute plan", "calculation": "Player observed minutes / sum observed team minutes * 240; rounding residual assigned to final row. Observed FGA/3PA/FTA kept as explicit fixed-shot-volume scenario. No overtime assumed.", "observed_team_minutes": 243.0, "conditional_team_minutes": 240.0, "rotation": [ { "player_id": "4432848", "player": "Jaime Jaquez Jr.", "reference_starter": true, "reference_minutes": 22.0, "reference_DNP_reason": null, "conditional_minutes": 21.7284, "conditional_FGA": 12.0, "conditional_3PA": 7.0, "conditional_FTA": 2.0, "conditional_FGA_share": 0.12631578947368421, "conditional_FTA_share": 0.05714285714285714, "reference_creation_assist_share": 0.0967741935483871, "reference_AST": 3.0, "reference_TO": 2.0, "reference_OREB": 1.0, "reference_eFG": 0.4583333333333333, "reference_TS_proxy": 0.5046583850931676 }, { "player_id": "3133628", "player": "Myles Turner", "reference_starter": true, "reference_minutes": 22.0, "reference_DNP_reason": null, "conditional_minutes": 21.7284, "conditional_FGA": 8.0, "conditional_3PA": 4.0, "conditional_FTA": 8.0, "conditional_FGA_share": 0.08421052631578947, "conditional_FTA_share": 0.22857142857142856, 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Any player-rate correction would be sensitivity, not calibrated correction.", "numerical_conversion_status": "UNESTIMATED_ALLOWED: no validated incremental run/PPP/goal conversion; no PPG/OPS/points subtraction", "base_scores_away_home": { "Classic": [ 109.40853658536585, 117.92682926829269 ], "Primary": [ 108.42657806213404, 114.65531318147141 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 110.90854, 116.42682500000001 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 110.90854, 116.42682500000001 ] }, "adjusted_scores_away_home": { "Classic": null, "Primary": null, "Tighten Up ON": null, "Tighten Up OFF": null }, "scores_carried_for_research": { "Classic": [ 109.40853658536585, 117.92682926829269 ], "Primary": [ 108.42657806213404, 114.65531318147141 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 110.90854, 116.42682500000001 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 110.90854, 116.42682500000001 ] }, "adjusted_score_status": "Base retained as base; adjusted score unestimated. 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not assumed to be engine baseline", "opportunity_status": "CONDITIONAL_240_MINUTE_AND_SHOT_CREATION_ALLOCATION", "baseline_exposure": "Team score aggregates do not identify player-weighted healthy/reference exposure. Any player-rate correction would be sensitivity, not calibrated correction.", "numerical_conversion_status": "UNESTIMATED_ALLOWED: no validated incremental run/PPP/goal conversion; no PPG/OPS/points subtraction", "base_scores_away_home": { "Classic": [ 115.1158536585366, 123.29268292682927 ], "Primary": [ 115.21756839394763, 122.67635016771315 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 116.6097575, 121.79268 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 116.6097575, 121.79268 ] }, "adjusted_scores_away_home": { "Classic": null, "Primary": null, "Tighten Up ON": null, "Tighten Up OFF": null }, "scores_carried_for_research": { "Classic": [ 115.1158536585366, 123.29268292682927 ], "Primary": [ 115.21756839394763, 122.67635016771315 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 116.6097575, 121.79268 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 116.6097575, 121.79268 ] }, "adjusted_score_status": "Base retained as base; adjusted score unestimated. 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2026020078, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Walker", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "CHI", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8480336, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 103, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 103.0, "shTimeOnIce": 122, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 122.0, "shifts": 23, "shiftsPerGame": 23.0, "shootsCatches": "R", "skaterFullName": "Sean Walker", "teamAbbrev": "CAR", "timeOnIce": 1356, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1356.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 58.95652 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 693, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 693.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020078, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Jankowski", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "CHI", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8476873, "positionCode": "L", "ppTimeOnIce": 36, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 36.0, "shTimeOnIce": 88, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 88.0, "shifts": 19, "shiftsPerGame": 19.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Mark Jankowski", "teamAbbrev": "CAR", "timeOnIce": 817, "timeOnIcePerGame": 817.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 43.0 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 737, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 737.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020078, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Staal", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "CHI", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8473533, "positionCode": "C", "ppTimeOnIce": 41, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 41.0, "shTimeOnIce": 74, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 74.0, "shifts": 21, "shiftsPerGame": 21.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Jordan Staal", "teamAbbrev": "CAR", "timeOnIce": 852, "timeOnIcePerGame": 852.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 40.57142 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 808, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 808.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020078, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Blake", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "CHI", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8482809, "positionCode": "R", "ppTimeOnIce": 137, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 137.0, "shTimeOnIce": 9, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 9.0, "shifts": 16, "shiftsPerGame": 16.0, "shootsCatches": "R", "skaterFullName": "Jackson Blake", "teamAbbrev": "CAR", "timeOnIce": 954, "timeOnIcePerGame": 954.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 59.625 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 1044, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 1044.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020078, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Slavin", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "CHI", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8476958, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 0, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shTimeOnIce": 93, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 93.0, "shifts": 22, "shiftsPerGame": 22.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Jaccob Slavin", "teamAbbrev": "CAR", "timeOnIce": 1137, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1137.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 51.68181 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 1052, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 1052.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020078, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Miller", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "CHI", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8480817, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 120, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 120.0, "shTimeOnIce": 137, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 137.0, "shifts": 23, "shiftsPerGame": 23.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "K'Andre Miller", "teamAbbrev": "CAR", "timeOnIce": 1309, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1309.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 56.91304 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 823, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 823.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020078, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Robinson", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "CHI", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8480762, "positionCode": "L", "ppTimeOnIce": 0, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shTimeOnIce": 104, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 104.0, "shifts": 18, "shiftsPerGame": 18.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Eric Robinson", "teamAbbrev": "CAR", "timeOnIce": 927, "timeOnIcePerGame": 927.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 51.5 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 857, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 857.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020078, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Kotkaniemi", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "CHI", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8480829, "positionCode": "C", "ppTimeOnIce": 0, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shTimeOnIce": 0, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shifts": 17, "shiftsPerGame": 17.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Jesperi Kotkaniemi", "teamAbbrev": "CAR", "timeOnIce": 857, "timeOnIcePerGame": 857.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 50.41176 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 929, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 929.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020078, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Aho", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "CHI", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8478427, "positionCode": "C", "ppTimeOnIce": 153, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 153.0, "shTimeOnIce": 95, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 95.0, "shifts": 21, "shiftsPerGame": 21.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Sebastian Aho", "teamAbbrev": "CAR", "timeOnIce": 1177, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1177.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 56.04761 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 970, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 970.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020078, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Reilly", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "CHI", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8476422, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 0, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shTimeOnIce": 9, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 9.0, "shifts": 21, "shiftsPerGame": 21.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Mike Reilly", "teamAbbrev": "CAR", "timeOnIce": 979, "timeOnIcePerGame": 979.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 46.61904 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 713, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 713.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020078, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Martinook", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "CHI", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8476921, "positionCode": "L", "ppTimeOnIce": 12, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 12.0, "shTimeOnIce": 47, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 47.0, "shifts": 20, "shiftsPerGame": 20.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Jordan Martinook", "teamAbbrev": "CAR", "timeOnIce": 772, "timeOnIcePerGame": 772.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 38.6 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 754, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 754.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020078, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Hall", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "CHI", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8475791, "positionCode": "L", "ppTimeOnIce": 90, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 90.0, "shTimeOnIce": 0, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shifts": 16, "shiftsPerGame": 16.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Taylor Hall", "teamAbbrev": "CAR", "timeOnIce": 844, "timeOnIcePerGame": 844.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 52.75 } ], "projected_seconds_by_strength": [ { "player_id": 8480830, "player": "Andrei Svechnikov", "EV_seconds": 796, "PP_seconds": 150, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8478970, "player": "Jalen Chatfield", "EV_seconds": 1138, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 114 }, { "player_id": 8482702, "player": "Logan Stankoven", "EV_seconds": 822, "PP_seconds": 87, "SH_seconds": 63 }, { "player_id": 8477478, "player": "William Carrier", "EV_seconds": 831, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8477940, "player": "Nikolaj Ehlers", "EV_seconds": 633, "PP_seconds": 151, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8476906, "player": "Shayne Gostisbehere", "EV_seconds": 912, "PP_seconds": 120, "SH_seconds": 5 }, { "player_id": 8480336, "player": "Sean Walker", "EV_seconds": 1131, "PP_seconds": 103, "SH_seconds": 122 }, { "player_id": 8476873, "player": "Mark Jankowski", "EV_seconds": 693, "PP_seconds": 36, "SH_seconds": 88 }, { "player_id": 8473533, "player": "Jordan Staal", "EV_seconds": 737, "PP_seconds": 41, "SH_seconds": 74 }, { "player_id": 8482809, "player": "Jackson Blake", "EV_seconds": 808, "PP_seconds": 137, "SH_seconds": 9 }, { "player_id": 8476958, "player": "Jaccob Slavin", "EV_seconds": 1044, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 93 }, { "player_id": 8480817, "player": "K'Andre Miller", "EV_seconds": 1052, "PP_seconds": 120, "SH_seconds": 137 }, { "player_id": 8480762, "player": "Eric Robinson", "EV_seconds": 823, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 104 }, { "player_id": 8480829, "player": "Jesperi Kotkaniemi", "EV_seconds": 857, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8478427, "player": "Sebastian Aho", "EV_seconds": 929, "PP_seconds": 153, "SH_seconds": 95 }, { "player_id": 8476422, "player": "Mike Reilly", "EV_seconds": 970, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 9 }, { "player_id": 8476921, "player": "Jordan Martinook", "EV_seconds": 713, "PP_seconds": 12, "SH_seconds": 47 }, { "player_id": 8475791, "player": "Taylor Hall", "EV_seconds": 754, "PP_seconds": 90, "SH_seconds": 0 } ], "PP_units": "Unit membership unknown; observed PP seconds retained, not inferred from roster order.", "calculation": "Each player repeats observed same-strength exposure; no goal-rate conversion without supported lineup rates.", "limits": "Special-team total depends on penalties, opponent and game state; not an expectation that identical penalties occur." }, "reference_lineup": [ { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8473533, "name": { "default": "J. Staal" }, "position": "C", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "14:12", "shifts": 21 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8478427, "name": { "default": "S. Aho" }, "position": "C", "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "points": 1, "sog": 6, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "19:37", "shifts": 21 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8482702, "name": { "default": "L. Stankoven" }, "position": "C", "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "points": 1, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "16:12", "shifts": 19 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8477940, "name": { "default": "N. Ehlers" }, "position": "L", "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "points": 1, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "13:04", "shifts": 17 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8477478, "name": { "default": "W. Carrier" }, "position": "L", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 4, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "13:51", "shifts": 18 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8480830, "name": { "default": "A. Svechnikov", "cs": "A. Sve\u010dnikov", "fi": "A. Svetshnikov", "sk": "A. Sve\u010dnikov" }, "position": "R", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "15:46", "shifts": 19 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8476921, "name": { "default": "J. Martinook" }, "position": "L", "goals": 1, "assists": 1, "points": 2, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "12:52", "shifts": 20 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8480762, "name": { "default": "E. Robinson" }, "position": "L", "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "points": 1, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "15:27", "shifts": 18 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8482809, "name": { "default": "J. Blake" }, "position": "R", "goals": 1, "assists": 1, "points": 2, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "15:54", "shifts": 16 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8475791, "name": { "default": "T. Hall" }, "position": "L", "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "points": 1, "sog": 4, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "14:04", "shifts": 16 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8476873, "name": { "default": "M. Jankowski" }, "position": "L", "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "points": 1, "sog": 3, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "13:37", "shifts": 19 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8480829, "name": { "default": "J. Kotkaniemi" }, "position": "C", "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "points": 1, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "14:17", "shifts": 17 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8476906, "name": { "default": "S. Gostisbehere" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "17:17", "shifts": 22 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8478970, "name": { "default": "J. Chatfield" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 3, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "20:52", "shifts": 22 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8476422, "name": { "default": "M. Reilly" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 2, "points": 2, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "16:19", "shifts": 21 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8480817, "name": { "default": "K. Miller" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "points": 1, "sog": 4, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "21:49", "shifts": 23 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8480336, "name": { "default": "S. Walker" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "22:36", "shifts": 23 }, { "event_id": 2026020078, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "CAR", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020078/boxscore", "playerId": 8476958, "name": { "default": "J. Slavin" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "18:57", "shifts": 22 } ], "offensive_adjustment": null, "transaction_review_status": "NHL OCT1 BOTH-SIDE LEDGER ATTACHED; others no October trade located in official tracker", "transaction_source": null, "transaction_date": null, "former_team": null, "new_team": null, "trade_player_id": null, "trade_player": null, "pre_trade_role": null, "expected_post_trade_role": null, "trade_offensive_adjustment": null, "trade_defensive_adjustment": null, "trade_adjustment_units": "goals", "adjustment_units": "goals", "reason": "Requires event-specific replacement and transaction confirmation; blank adjustments are unestimated, not zero", "overlay_version": "offensive-replacement-v1", "version": "event-review-2026-10-11-retry-v2", "reviewed_utc": "2026-10-11T11:27:06.352233+00:00", "findings": "Official Oct11 preview retains shoulder recovery; prior Oct3 lines Robinson with Aho/Svechnikov only a reference. Oct11 exact line/PP changes are not inferred from old preview. Retry: official last-game per-strength exposure and separate two prior seasons/current season quantified; unknown PP unit labels retained as unknown. Jarvis has been absent in current regular-season reference; no fresh full-player loss. This conditional branch retains latest actual rotation; a return would reopen comparison.", "required_comparison_gaps": [], "incumbent_names": [ "Seth Jarvis" ], "replacement_names": [ "Eric Robinson", "Nicolas Deslauriers", "Jesperi Kotkaniemi" ], "comparison_player_ids": [ 8475235, 8480762, 8480829, 8482093 ], "two_season_comparison_rows": [ { "teamAbbrevs": "CAR", "goals": 13, "gameWinningGoals": 3, "evGoals": 11, "shPoints": 2, "gamesPlayed": 75, "seasonId": 20242025, "assists": 23, "shots": 107, "evPoints": 34, "positionCode": "C", "playerId": 8473533, "ppPoints": 0, "points": 36, "timeOnIcePerGame": 926.24, "ppGoals": 0, "skaterFullName": "Jordan Staal", "shGoals": 2, "shootingPct": 0.12149, "otGoals": 0, "game_type": 2, "stage": "regular", "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&sort=%5B%7B%22property%22%3A+%22playerId%22%2C+%22direction%22%3A+%22ASC%22%7D%5D&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2" 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Any player-rate correction would be sensitivity, not calibrated correction.", "numerical_conversion_status": "UNESTIMATED_ALLOWED: no validated incremental run/PPP/goal conversion; no PPG/OPS/points subtraction", "base_scores_away_home": { "Classic": [ 3.331988742964352, 2.8406191369606 ], "Primary": [ 3.3519590850332537, 2.6948278521867333 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 3.231705, 2.90243 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 3.231705, 2.90243 ] }, "adjusted_scores_away_home": { "Classic": null, "Primary": null, "Tighten Up ON": null, "Tighten Up OFF": null }, "scores_carried_for_research": { "Classic": [ 3.331988742964352, 2.8406191369606 ], "Primary": [ 3.3519590850332537, 2.6948278521867333 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 3.231705, 2.90243 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 3.231705, 2.90243 ] }, "adjusted_score_status": "Base retained as base; adjusted score unestimated. No claim null adjustment is zero.", "gate_outcome": "TRACKING_ONLY_CONDITIONAL", "football_minus3": 0, "sources": [ "https://www.nhl.com/hurricanes/news/preview-october-11-at-philadelphia", "https://www.nhl.com/news/carolina-hurricanes-philadelphia-flyers-game-preview-october-3-2026" ], "collector_source": "C:\\Users\\Owner\\Documents\\EmilyCarter\\output\\Offensive-Replacement-Tracking\\capture-20261011T111921Z", "price_inputs_used": false, "uncertainty": "Conditional role projection; source snapshot is not a confirmed game lineup. 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Barkey" }, "position": "C", "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "points": 1, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "13:51", "shifts": 19 }, { "event_id": 2026020070, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "PHI", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020070/boxscore", "playerId": 8485406, "name": { "default": "P. Martone" }, "position": "R", "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "points": 1, "sog": 3, "powerPlayGoals": 1, "toi": "15:18", "shifts": 20 }, { "event_id": 2026020070, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "PHI", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020070/boxscore", "playerId": 8482169, "name": { "default": "H. 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Seeler" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "20:19", "shifts": 28 }, { "event_id": 2026020070, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "PHI", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020070/boxscore", "playerId": 8481122, "name": { "default": "S. Benoit" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "13:37", "shifts": 22 } ], "offensive_adjustment": null, "transaction_review_status": "NHL OCT1 BOTH-SIDE LEDGER ATTACHED; others no October trade located in official tracker", "transaction_source": null, "transaction_date": null, "former_team": null, "new_team": null, "trade_player_id": null, "trade_player": null, "pre_trade_role": null, "expected_post_trade_role": null, "trade_offensive_adjustment": null, "trade_defensive_adjustment": null, "trade_adjustment_units": "goals", "adjustment_units": "goals", "reason": "Requires event-specific replacement and transaction confirmation; blank adjustments are unestimated, not zero", "overlay_version": "offensive-replacement-v1", "version": "event-review-2026-10-11-retry-v2", "reviewed_utc": "2026-10-11T11:27:06.352233+00:00", "findings": "Oct3 injury list used as dated prior-state reference; Bunting signed Oct6 (not a trade). Current line/scratch/injury map cannot be inferred from roster order. Retry: official last-game per-strength exposure and separate two prior seasons/current season quantified; unknown PP unit labels retained as unknown. Latest actual Oct10 role includes Bunting; October3 injury labels are dated references only. Conditional same-active-lineup branch avoids claiming old injury list is current confirmation.", "required_comparison_gaps": [], "incumbent_names": [ "Denver Barkey", "Nikita Grebenkin" ], "replacement_names": [ "Michael Bunting", "Carl Grundstrom", "Alex Bump", "Noel Acciari" ], "comparison_player_ids": [ 8478047, 8478569, 8479336, 8483731, 8483733, 8484142 ], "two_season_comparison_rows": [ { "teamAbbrevs": "PHI", "goals": 3, "gameWinningGoals": 1, "evGoals": 3, "shPoints": 0, "gamesPlayed": 77, "seasonId": 20242025, "assists": 17, "shots": 82, "evPoints": 20, "positionCode": "D", "playerId": 8476372, "ppPoints": 0, "points": 20, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1036.7792, "ppGoals": 0, "skaterFullName": "Nick Seeler", "shGoals": 0, "shootingPct": 0.03658, "otGoals": 0, "game_type": 2, "stage": "regular", "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&sort=%5B%7B%22property%22%3A+%22playerId%22%2C+%22direction%22%3A+%22ASC%22%7D%5D&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2" }, { "teamAbbrevs": "PHI", "goals": 15, "gameWinningGoals": 2, "evGoals": 14, "shPoints": 0, "gamesPlayed": 79, "seasonId": 20242025, "assists": 30, "shots": 155, "evPoints": 41, "positionCode": "C", "playerId": 8476461, "ppPoints": 4, "points": 45, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1037.6202, "ppGoals": 1, "skaterFullName": "Sean Couturier", "shGoals": 0, "shootingPct": 0.09677, "otGoals": 1, "game_type": 2, "stage": "regular", "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&sort=%5B%7B%22property%22%3A+%22playerId%22%2C+%22direction%22%3A+%22ASC%22%7D%5D&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2" }, { "teamAbbrevs": "PHI", "goals": 8, "gameWinningGoals": 0, "evGoals": 8, "shPoints": 2, "gamesPlayed": 82, "seasonId": 20242025, "assists": 22, "shots": 139, "evPoints": 26, "positionCode": "D", "playerId": 8477948, "ppPoints": 2, "points": 30, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1469.7195, "ppGoals": 0, "skaterFullName": "Travis Sanheim", "shGoals": 0, "shootingPct": 0.05755, "otGoals": 0, "game_type": 2, "stage": "regular", "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=200&limit=1000&sort=%5B%7B%22property%22%3A+%22playerId%22%2C+%22direction%22%3A+%22ASC%22%7D%5D&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2" }, { "teamAbbrevs": "MTL", "goals": 12, "gameWinningGoals": 0, "evGoals": 11, "shPoints": 0, "gamesPlayed": 82, "seasonId": 20242025, "assists": 21, "shots": 104, "evPoints": 31, "positionCode": "C", "playerId": 8477989, "ppPoints": 2, "points": 33, "timeOnIcePerGame": 914.6219, "ppGoals": 1, "skaterFullName": "Christian Dvorak", "shGoals": 0, "shootingPct": 0.11538, "otGoals": 0, "game_type": 2, "stage": "regular", "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=200&limit=1000&sort=%5B%7B%22property%22%3A+%22playerId%22%2C+%22direction%22%3A+%22ASC%22%7D%5D&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2" }, { "teamAbbrevs": "PIT,NSH", "goals": 19, "gameWinningGoals": 1, "evGoals": 8, "shPoints": 0, "gamesPlayed": 76, "seasonId": 20242025, "assists": 19, "shots": 155, "evPoints": 21, "positionCode": "L", "playerId": 8478047, "ppPoints": 17, "points": 38, "timeOnIcePerGame": 931.8289, "ppGoals": 11, "skaterFullName": "Michael Bunting", "shGoals": 0, "shootingPct": 0.12258, "otGoals": 0, "game_type": 2, "stage": "regular", "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=300&limit=1000&sort=%5B%7B%22property%22%3A+%22playerId%22%2C+%22direction%22%3A+%22ASC%22%7D%5D&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2" }, { "teamAbbrevs": "PIT", "goals": 5, "gameWinningGoals": 0, "evGoals": 5, 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"source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=400&limit=1000&sort=%5B%7B%22property%22%3A+%22playerId%22%2C+%22direction%22%3A+%22ASC%22%7D%5D&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2" }, { "teamAbbrevs": "PHI", "goals": 20, "gameWinningGoals": 2, "evGoals": 20, "shPoints": 0, "gamesPlayed": 77, "seasonId": 20242025, "assists": 23, "shots": 188, "evPoints": 36, "positionCode": "R", "playerId": 8480015, "ppPoints": 7, "points": 43, "timeOnIcePerGame": 959.5064, "ppGoals": 0, "skaterFullName": "Owen Tippett", "shGoals": 0, "shootingPct": 0.10638, "otGoals": 1, "game_type": 2, "stage": "regular", "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=400&limit=1000&sort=%5B%7B%22property%22%3A+%22playerId%22%2C+%22direction%22%3A+%22ASC%22%7D%5D&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2" }, { "teamAbbrevs": "PHI", "goals": 16, "gameWinningGoals": 2, "evGoals": 15, "shPoints": 0, 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Any player-rate correction would be sensitivity, not calibrated correction.", "numerical_conversion_status": "UNESTIMATED_ALLOWED: no validated incremental run/PPP/goal conversion; no PPG/OPS/points subtraction", "base_scores_away_home": { "Classic": [ 3.331988742964352, 2.8406191369606 ], "Primary": [ 3.3519590850332537, 2.6948278521867333 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 3.231705, 2.90243 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 3.231705, 2.90243 ] }, "adjusted_scores_away_home": { "Classic": null, "Primary": null, "Tighten Up ON": null, "Tighten Up OFF": null }, "scores_carried_for_research": { "Classic": [ 3.331988742964352, 2.8406191369606 ], "Primary": [ 3.3519590850332537, 2.6948278521867333 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 3.231705, 2.90243 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 3.231705, 2.90243 ] }, "adjusted_score_status": "Base retained as base; adjusted score unestimated. No claim null adjustment is zero.", "gate_outcome": "TRACKING_ONLY_CONDITIONAL", "football_minus3": 0, "sources": [ "https://www.nhl.com/news/carolina-hurricanes-philadelphia-flyers-game-preview-october-3-2026", "https://www.nhl.com/hurricanes/news/preview-october-11-at-philadelphia" ], "collector_source": "C:\\Users\\Owner\\Documents\\EmilyCarter\\output\\Offensive-Replacement-Tracking\\capture-20261011T111921Z", "price_inputs_used": false, "uncertainty": "Conditional role projection; source snapshot is not a confirmed game lineup. Aggregate engine baseline has unknown player-weighted exposure; calculations are sensitivities only.", "strength_state_history": { "20242025": [ { "evTimeOnIce": 72397, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 940.22077, "gamesPlayed": 77, "lastName": "Seeler", "otTimeOnIce": 149, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 7.45, "playerId": 8476372, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 80, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 1.03896, "seasonId": 20242025, "shTimeOnIce": 7355, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 95.51948, "shifts": 1906, "shiftsPerGame": 24.75324, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Nick Seeler", "teamAbbrevs": "PHI", "timeOnIce": 79832, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1036.77922, "timeOnIcePerShift": 41.88457 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 72577, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 918.6962, "gamesPlayed": 79, "lastName": "Couturier", "otTimeOnIce": 466, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 23.3, "playerId": 8476461, "positionCode": "C", "ppTimeOnIce": 7099, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 89.86075, "seasonId": 20242025, "shTimeOnIce": 2296, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 29.06329, "shifts": 1654, 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"shiftsPerGame": 20.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Paul Cotter", "teamAbbrev": "VAN", "timeOnIce": 911, "timeOnIcePerGame": 911.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 45.55 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 862, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 862.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020071, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Pettersson", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "NJD", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8480012, "positionCode": "C", "ppTimeOnIce": 79, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 79.0, "shTimeOnIce": 111, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 111.0, "shifts": 24, "shiftsPerGame": 24.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Elias Pettersson", "teamAbbrev": "VAN", "timeOnIce": 1052, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1052.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 43.83333 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 898, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 898.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020071, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Oleksiak", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "NJD", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8476467, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 0, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shTimeOnIce": 91, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 91.0, "shifts": 22, "shiftsPerGame": 22.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Jamie Oleksiak", "teamAbbrev": "VAN", "timeOnIce": 989, "timeOnIcePerGame": 989.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 44.95454 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 785, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 785.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020071, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Ohgren", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "NJD", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8483499, "positionCode": "L", "ppTimeOnIce": 50, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 50.0, "shTimeOnIce": 17, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 17.0, "shifts": 18, "shiftsPerGame": 18.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Liam Ohgren", "teamAbbrev": "VAN", "timeOnIce": 852, "timeOnIcePerGame": 852.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 47.33333 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 591, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 591.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020071, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Bains", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "NJD", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8483395, "positionCode": "L", "ppTimeOnIce": 0, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shTimeOnIce": 69, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 69.0, "shifts": 14, "shiftsPerGame": 14.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Arshdeep Bains", "teamAbbrev": "VAN", "timeOnIce": 660, "timeOnIcePerGame": 660.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 47.14285 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 882, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 882.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020071, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Hronek", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "NJD", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8479425, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 127, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 127.0, "shTimeOnIce": 159, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 159.0, "shifts": 28, "shiftsPerGame": 28.0, "shootsCatches": "R", "skaterFullName": "Filip Hronek", "teamAbbrev": "VAN", "timeOnIce": 1168, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1168.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 41.71428 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 901, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 901.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020071, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "DeBrusk", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "NJD", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8478498, "positionCode": "L", "ppTimeOnIce": 134, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 134.0, "shTimeOnIce": 0, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shifts": 23, "shiftsPerGame": 23.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Jake DeBrusk", "teamAbbrev": "VAN", "timeOnIce": 1035, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1035.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 45.0 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 943, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 943.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020071, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Schenn", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "NJD", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8474568, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 0, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shTimeOnIce": 23, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 23.0, "shifts": 19, "shiftsPerGame": 19.0, "shootsCatches": "R", "skaterFullName": "Luke Schenn", "teamAbbrev": "VAN", "timeOnIce": 966, "timeOnIcePerGame": 966.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 50.8421 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 1194, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 1194.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020071, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Willander", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "NJD", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8484240, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 0, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shTimeOnIce": 71, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 71.0, "shifts": 29, "shiftsPerGame": 29.0, "shootsCatches": "R", "skaterFullName": "Tom Willander", "teamAbbrev": "VAN", "timeOnIce": 1265, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1265.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 43.62068 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 1009, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 1009.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-10", "gameId": 2026020071, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Pettersson", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "NJD", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8483678, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 0, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shTimeOnIce": 162, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 162.0, "shifts": 23, "shiftsPerGame": 23.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Elias Pettersson", "teamAbbrev": "VAN", "timeOnIce": 1171, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1171.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 50.91304 } ], "projected_seconds_by_strength": [ { "player_id": 8475848, "player": "Brendan Gallagher", "EV_seconds": 596, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 117 }, { "player_id": 8482055, "player": "Drew O'Connor", "EV_seconds": 911, "PP_seconds": 10, "SH_seconds": 89 }, { "player_id": 8481024, "player": "Linus Karlsson", "EV_seconds": 783, "PP_seconds": 103, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8484136, "player": "Max Sasson", "EV_seconds": 561, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 79 }, { "player_id": 8478444, "player": "Brock Boeser", "EV_seconds": 864, "PP_seconds": 138, "SH_seconds": 16 }, { "player_id": 8484798, "player": "Zeev Buium", "EV_seconds": 1415, "PP_seconds": 61, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8482079, "player": "Marco Rossi", "EV_seconds": 818, "PP_seconds": 127, "SH_seconds": 1 }, { "player_id": 8483476, "player": "Jonathan Lekkerimaki", "EV_seconds": 828, "PP_seconds": 51, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8481032, "player": "Paul Cotter", "EV_seconds": 850, "PP_seconds": 50, "SH_seconds": 11 }, { "player_id": 8480012, "player": "Elias Pettersson", "EV_seconds": 862, "PP_seconds": 79, "SH_seconds": 111 }, { "player_id": 8476467, "player": "Jamie Oleksiak", "EV_seconds": 898, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 91 }, { "player_id": 8483499, "player": "Liam Ohgren", "EV_seconds": 785, "PP_seconds": 50, "SH_seconds": 17 }, { "player_id": 8483395, "player": "Arshdeep Bains", "EV_seconds": 591, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 69 }, { "player_id": 8479425, "player": "Filip Hronek", "EV_seconds": 882, "PP_seconds": 127, "SH_seconds": 159 }, { "player_id": 8478498, "player": "Jake DeBrusk", "EV_seconds": 901, "PP_seconds": 134, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8474568, "player": "Luke Schenn", "EV_seconds": 943, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 23 }, { "player_id": 8484240, "player": "Tom Willander", "EV_seconds": 1194, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 71 }, { "player_id": 8483678, "player": "Elias Pettersson", "EV_seconds": 1009, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 162 } ], "PP_units": "Unit membership unknown; observed PP seconds retained, not inferred from roster order.", "calculation": "Each player repeats observed same-strength exposure; no goal-rate conversion without supported lineup rates.", "limits": "Special-team total depends on penalties, opponent and game state; not an expectation that identical penalties occur." }, "reference_lineup": [ { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8478444, "name": { "default": "B. Boeser" }, "position": "R", "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "points": 1, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "16:58", "shifts": 23 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8475848, "name": { "default": "B. Gallagher" }, "position": "R", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "11:53", "shifts": 17 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8483395, "name": { "default": "A. Bains" }, "position": "L", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "11:00", "shifts": 14 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8482055, "name": { "default": "D. O'Connor" }, "position": "L", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "16:50", "shifts": 21 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8482079, "name": { "default": "M. Rossi" }, "position": "C", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "15:46", "shifts": 21 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8480012, "name": { "default": "E. Pettersson" }, "position": "C", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 3, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "17:32", "shifts": 24 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8481032, "name": { "default": "P. Cotter" }, "position": "L", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "15:11", "shifts": 20 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8484136, "name": { "default": "M. Sasson" }, "position": "C", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "10:40", "shifts": 17 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8478498, "name": { "default": "J. DeBrusk" }, "position": "L", "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "points": 1, "sog": 7, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "17:15", "shifts": 23 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8483476, "name": { "default": "J. Lekkerim\u00e4ki" }, "position": "R", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "14:39", "shifts": 20 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8483499, "name": { "default": "L. Ohgren", "cs": "L. \u00d6hgren", "fi": "L. \u00d6hgren", "sk": "L. \u00d6hgren", "sv": "L. \u00d6hgren" }, "position": "L", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "14:12", "shifts": 18 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8481024, "name": { "default": "L. Karlsson" }, "position": "C", "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "points": 1, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 1, "toi": "14:46", "shifts": 20 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8474568, "name": { "default": "L. Schenn" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "16:06", "shifts": 19 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8476467, "name": { "default": "J. Oleksiak" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "16:29", "shifts": 22 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8484240, "name": { "default": "T. Willander" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "21:05", "shifts": 29 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8484798, "name": { "default": "Z. Buium" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "24:36", "shifts": 28 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8479425, "name": { "default": "F. Hronek" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "19:28", "shifts": 28 }, { "event_id": 2026020071, "date": "2026-10-10", "stage": "regular", "team": "VAN", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020071/boxscore", "playerId": 8483678, "name": { "default": "E. Pettersson" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "19:31", "shifts": 23 } ], "offensive_adjustment": null, "transaction_review_status": "NHL OCT1 BOTH-SIDE LEDGER ATTACHED; others no October trade located in official tracker", "transaction_source": null, "transaction_date": null, "former_team": null, "new_team": null, "trade_player_id": null, "trade_player": null, "pre_trade_role": null, "expected_post_trade_role": null, "trade_offensive_adjustment": null, "trade_defensive_adjustment": null, "trade_adjustment_units": "goals", "adjustment_units": "goals", "reason": "Requires event-specific replacement and transaction confirmation; blank adjustments are unestimated, not zero", "overlay_version": "offensive-replacement-v1", "version": "event-review-2026-10-11-retry-v2", "reviewed_utc": "2026-10-11T11:27:06.352233+00:00", "findings": "Projected centers Pettersson/Rossi/Ohgren/Sasson with Chytil absent. Goalie Demko absence is separate from offensive overlay. Retry: official last-game per-strength exposure and separate two prior seasons/current season quantified; unknown PP unit labels retained as unknown. Chytil already absent at season opening; do not subtract a full healthy Chytil role from current aggregate data. Projected centers Pettersson, Rossi, Ohgren, Sasson.", "required_comparison_gaps": [], "incumbent_names": [ "Filip Chytil" ], "replacement_names": [ "Marco Rossi", "Liam Ohgren", "Max Sasson" ], "comparison_player_ids": [ 8480078, 8482079, 8483499, 8484136 ], "two_season_comparison_rows": [ { "teamAbbrevs": "NSH,WPG", "goals": 1, "gameWinningGoals": 0, "evGoals": 1, "shPoints": 0, "gamesPlayed": 76, "seasonId": 20242025, "assists": 6, "shots": 77, "evPoints": 7, "positionCode": "D", "playerId": 8474568, "ppPoints": 0, "points": 7, "timeOnIcePerGame": 957.1973, "ppGoals": 0, "skaterFullName": "Luke Schenn", "shGoals": 0, "shootingPct": 0.01298, "otGoals": 0, "game_type": 2, "stage": "regular", "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&sort=%5B%7B%22property%22%3A+%22playerId%22%2C+%22direction%22%3A+%22ASC%22%7D%5D&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2" }, { "teamAbbrevs": "MTL", "goals": 21, 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Any player-rate correction would be sensitivity, not calibrated correction.", "numerical_conversion_status": "UNESTIMATED_ALLOWED: no validated incremental run/PPP/goal conversion; no PPG/OPS/points subtraction", "base_scores_away_home": { "Classic": [ 2.720356472795497, 3.5831144465290805 ], "Primary": [ 2.6815830392582907, 3.6520981275028364 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 2.798775, 3.347555 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 2.798775, 3.347555 ] }, "adjusted_scores_away_home": { "Classic": null, "Primary": null, "Tighten Up ON": null, "Tighten Up OFF": null }, "scores_carried_for_research": { "Classic": [ 2.720356472795497, 3.5831144465290805 ], "Primary": [ 2.6815830392582907, 3.6520981275028364 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 2.798775, 3.347555 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 2.798775, 3.347555 ] }, "adjusted_score_status": "Base retained as base; adjusted score unestimated. No claim null adjustment is zero.", "gate_outcome": "TRACKING_ONLY_CONDITIONAL", "football_minus3": 0, "sources": [ "https://www.nhl.com/news/vancouver-canucks-new-york-rangers-game-preview-october-11-2026" ], "collector_source": "C:\\Users\\Owner\\Documents\\EmilyCarter\\output\\Offensive-Replacement-Tracking\\capture-20261011T111921Z", "price_inputs_used": false, "uncertainty": "Conditional role projection; source snapshot is not a confirmed game lineup. 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"shTimeOnIce": 628, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 104.66666, "shifts": 123, "shiftsPerGame": 20.5, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Max Sasson", "teamAbbrevs": "VAN", "timeOnIce": 4997, "timeOnIcePerGame": 832.83333, "timeOnIcePerShift": 40.62601 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 6647, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 1107.83333, "gamesPlayed": 6, "lastName": "Willander", "otTimeOnIce": 19, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 19.0, "playerId": 8484240, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 577, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 96.16666, "seasonId": 20262027, "shTimeOnIce": 258, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 43.0, "shifts": 162, "shiftsPerGame": 27.0, "shootsCatches": "R", "skaterFullName": "Tom Willander", "teamAbbrevs": "VAN", "timeOnIce": 7482, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1247.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 46.18518 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 7368, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 1228.0, "gamesPlayed": 6, "lastName": "Buium", "otTimeOnIce": 47, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 47.0, "playerId": 8484798, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 728, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 121.33333, "seasonId": 20262027, "shTimeOnIce": 9, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 1.5, "shifts": 158, "shiftsPerGame": 26.33333, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Zeev Buium", "teamAbbrevs": "VAN", "timeOnIce": 8105, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1350.83333, "timeOnIcePerShift": 51.29746 } ] } }, { "sport": "NHL", "event_id": 2026020085, "team": "NYR", "review_status": "CONDITIONAL_OPPORTUNITY_COMPARISON_COMPLETED", "incumbent_id": null, "replacement_ids": null, "expected_opportunities": { "scenario": "Latest actual regular-season skater usage repeats, conditional on same active players", "reference": [ { "evTimeOnIce": 925, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 925.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-09", "gameId": 2026020067, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Durzi", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "WSH", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8480434, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 69, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 69.0, "shTimeOnIce": 138, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 138.0, "shifts": 25, "shiftsPerGame": 25.0, 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"gameDate": "2026-10-09", "gameId": 2026020067, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Chmelar", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "WSH", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8482877, "positionCode": "R", "ppTimeOnIce": 0, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shTimeOnIce": 0, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shifts": 14, "shiftsPerGame": 14.0, "shootsCatches": "R", "skaterFullName": "Jaroslav Chmelar", "teamAbbrev": "NYR", "timeOnIce": 578, "timeOnIcePerGame": 578.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 41.28571 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 902, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 902.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-09", "gameId": 2026020067, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Lafreni\u00e8re", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "WSH", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8482109, "positionCode": "L", "ppTimeOnIce": 224, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 224.0, "shTimeOnIce": 0, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shifts": 21, "shiftsPerGame": 21.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Alexis Lafreni\u00e8re", "teamAbbrev": "NYR", "timeOnIce": 1126, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1126.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 53.61904 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 919, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 919.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-09", "gameId": 2026020067, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Perreault", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "WSH", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8484210, "positionCode": "R", "ppTimeOnIce": 69, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 69.0, "shTimeOnIce": 0, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shifts": 22, "shiftsPerGame": 22.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Gabe Perreault", "teamAbbrev": "NYR", "timeOnIce": 988, "timeOnIcePerGame": 988.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 44.90909 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 864, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 864.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-09", "gameId": 2026020067, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Smits", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "WSH", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8485957, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 0, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shTimeOnIce": 0, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shifts": 16, "shiftsPerGame": 16.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Alberts Smits", "teamAbbrev": "NYR", "timeOnIce": 864, "timeOnIcePerGame": 864.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 54.0 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 1148, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 1148.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-09", "gameId": 2026020067, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Fox", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "WSH", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8479323, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 224, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 224.0, "shTimeOnIce": 19, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 19.0, "shifts": 24, "shiftsPerGame": 24.0, "shootsCatches": "R", "skaterFullName": "Adam Fox", "teamAbbrev": "NYR", "timeOnIce": 1391, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1391.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 57.95833 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 850, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 850.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-09", "gameId": 2026020067, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Zibanejad", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "WSH", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8476459, "positionCode": "C", "ppTimeOnIce": 224, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 224.0, "shTimeOnIce": 68, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 68.0, "shifts": 23, "shiftsPerGame": 23.0, "shootsCatches": "R", "skaterFullName": "Mika Zibanejad", "teamAbbrev": "NYR", "timeOnIce": 1142, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1142.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 49.65217 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 856, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 856.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-09", "gameId": 2026020067, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "R", "lastName": "Schneider", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "WSH", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8482073, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 0, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shTimeOnIce": 201, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 201.0, "shifts": 21, "shiftsPerGame": 21.0, "shootsCatches": "R", "skaterFullName": "Braden Schneider", "teamAbbrev": "NYR", "timeOnIce": 1057, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1057.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 50.33333 } ], "projected_seconds_by_strength": [ { "player_id": 8480434, "player": "Sean Durzi", "EV_seconds": 925, "PP_seconds": 69, "SH_seconds": 138 }, { "player_id": 8483690, "player": "Noah Laba", "EV_seconds": 647, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 175 }, { "player_id": 8477416, "player": "Oliver Bjorkstrand", "EV_seconds": 501, "PP_seconds": 57, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8484786, "player": "Cole Beaudoin", "EV_seconds": 611, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 45 }, { "player_id": 8482157, "player": "Will Cuylle", "EV_seconds": 710, "PP_seconds": 113, "SH_seconds": 175 }, { "player_id": 8476468, "player": "J.T. Miller", "EV_seconds": 998, "PP_seconds": 192, "SH_seconds": 65 }, { "player_id": 8477969, "player": "Marcus Pettersson", "EV_seconds": 956, "PP_seconds": 12, "SH_seconds": 183 }, { "player_id": 8481604, "player": "Pavel Dorofeyev", "EV_seconds": 949, "PP_seconds": 224, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8478882, "player": "Vladislav Gavrikov", "EV_seconds": 1050, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 179 }, { "player_id": 8481789, "player": "Tye Kartye", "EV_seconds": 822, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 104 }, { "player_id": 8480009, "player": "Eeli Tolvanen", "EV_seconds": 564, "PP_seconds": 57, "SH_seconds": 88 }, { "player_id": 8482877, "player": "Jaroslav Chmelar", "EV_seconds": 578, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8482109, "player": "Alexis Lafreni\u00e8re", "EV_seconds": 902, "PP_seconds": 224, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8484210, "player": "Gabe Perreault", "EV_seconds": 919, "PP_seconds": 69, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8485957, "player": "Alberts Smits", "EV_seconds": 864, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8479323, "player": "Adam Fox", "EV_seconds": 1148, "PP_seconds": 224, "SH_seconds": 19 }, { "player_id": 8476459, "player": "Mika Zibanejad", "EV_seconds": 850, "PP_seconds": 224, "SH_seconds": 68 }, { "player_id": 8482073, "player": "Braden Schneider", "EV_seconds": 856, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 201 } ], "PP_units": "Unit membership unknown; observed PP seconds retained, not inferred from roster order.", "calculation": "Each player repeats observed same-strength exposure; no goal-rate conversion without supported lineup rates.", "limits": "Special-team total depends on penalties, opponent and game state; not an expectation that identical penalties occur.", "line_change": { "projected_player": "Juuso Parssinen", "player_id": 8481704, "replaces_reference_player": "Cole Beaudoin", "reference_id": 8484786, "role": "Fourth-line center, Veleno remains absent", "conditional_EV_seconds": 611, "conditional_PP_seconds": 0, "conditional_SH_seconds": 45, "calculation": "Conditional one-for-one fourth-center role replay; these are projected role seconds, not announced minutes. Others retain prior seconds." } }, "reference_lineup": [ { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "NYR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8476468, "name": { "default": "J. Miller" }, "position": "C", "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "points": 1, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "20:55", "shifts": 25 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "NYR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8482109, "name": { "default": "A. Lafreni\u00e8re" }, "position": "L", "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "points": 1, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 1, "toi": "18:46", "shifts": 21 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "NYR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8481604, "name": { "default": "P. Dorofeyev", "cs": "P. Dorofejev", "fi": "P. Dorofejev", "sk": "P. Dorofejev" }, "position": "R", "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "points": 1, "sog": 4, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "19:33", "shifts": 22 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "NYR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8480009, "name": { "default": "E. Tolvanen" }, "position": "R", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "11:49", "shifts": 22 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "NYR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8481789, "name": { "default": "T. Kartye" }, "position": "L", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "15:26", "shifts": 23 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "NYR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8477416, "name": { "default": "O. Bjorkstrand" }, "position": "R", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "09:18", "shifts": 14 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "NYR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8483690, "name": { "default": "N. Laba" }, "position": "C", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "13:42", "shifts": 25 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "NYR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8482877, "name": { "default": "J. Chmelar" }, "position": "R", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "09:38", "shifts": 14 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "NYR", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8482157, "name": { "default": "W. 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Gavrikov" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 3, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "20:29", "shifts": 23 } ], "offensive_adjustment": null, "transaction_review_status": "NHL OCT1 BOTH-SIDE LEDGER ATTACHED; others no October trade located in official tracker", "transaction_source": null, "transaction_date": null, "former_team": null, "new_team": null, "trade_player_id": null, "trade_player": null, "pre_trade_role": null, "expected_post_trade_role": null, "trade_offensive_adjustment": null, "trade_defensive_adjustment": null, "trade_adjustment_units": "goals", "adjustment_units": "goals", "reason": "Requires event-specific replacement and transaction confirmation; blank adjustments are unestimated, not zero", "overlay_version": "offensive-replacement-v1", "version": "event-review-2026-10-11-retry-v2", "reviewed_utc": "2026-10-11T11:27:06.352233+00:00", "findings": "Parssinen projected fourth-line center and reported recall; Veleno absent. Shesterkin/Korpisalo goalie absences, Garand starter projection belong in separate goalie analysis. Source reports Sunday recall without a full UTC publication timestamp; confirmation remains required. 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Gavrikov" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 3, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "20:29", "shifts": 23 } ], "reference_date": "2026-10-09", "reference_kind": "latest observed game; not assumed to be engine baseline", "opportunity_status": "CONDITIONAL_EV_PP_SH_WORKLOAD_COMPARISON", "baseline_exposure": "Team score aggregates do not identify player-weighted healthy/reference exposure. Any player-rate correction would be sensitivity, not calibrated correction.", "numerical_conversion_status": "UNESTIMATED_ALLOWED: no validated incremental run/PPP/goal conversion; no PPG/OPS/points subtraction", "base_scores_away_home": { "Classic": [ 2.720356472795497, 3.5831144465290805 ], "Primary": [ 2.6815830392582907, 3.6520981275028364 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 2.798775, 3.347555 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 2.798775, 3.347555 ] }, "adjusted_scores_away_home": { "Classic": null, "Primary": null, "Tighten Up ON": null, "Tighten Up OFF": null }, "scores_carried_for_research": { "Classic": [ 2.720356472795497, 3.5831144465290805 ], "Primary": [ 2.6815830392582907, 3.6520981275028364 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 2.798775, 3.347555 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 2.798775, 3.347555 ] }, "adjusted_score_status": "Base retained as base; adjusted score unestimated. No claim null adjustment is zero.", "gate_outcome": "TRACKING_ONLY_CONDITIONAL", "football_minus3": 0, "sources": [ "https://www.nhl.com/news/vancouver-canucks-new-york-rangers-game-preview-october-11-2026" ], "collector_source": "C:\\Users\\Owner\\Documents\\EmilyCarter\\output\\Offensive-Replacement-Tracking\\capture-20261011T111921Z", "price_inputs_used": false, "uncertainty": "Conditional role projection; source snapshot is not a confirmed game lineup. 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Projected roles are not confirmed opening lines. Retry: official last-game per-strength exposure and separate two prior seasons/current season quantified; unknown PP unit labels retained as unknown.", "required_comparison_gaps": [], "incumbent_names": [ "Jacob Melanson", "Ryan Lindgren" ], "replacement_names": [ "Ryan Winterton", "Ben Meyers", "Frederick Gaudreau", "Ville Ottavainen", "Josh Mahura" ], "comparison_player_ids": [ 8479324, 8479372, 8482751, 8482866, 8482874, 8483570 ], "two_season_comparison_rows": [ { "teamAbbrevs": "SEA", "goals": 9, "gameWinningGoals": 1, "evGoals": 8, "shPoints": 0, "gamesPlayed": 42, "seasonId": 20242025, "assists": 17, "shots": 66, "evPoints": 21, "positionCode": "R", "playerId": 8474586, "ppPoints": 5, "points": 26, "timeOnIcePerGame": 975.7857, "ppGoals": 1, "skaterFullName": "Jordan Eberle", "shGoals": 0, "shootingPct": 0.13636, "otGoals": 1, "game_type": 2, "stage": "regular", "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=0&limit=1000&sort=%5B%7B%22property%22%3A+%22playerId%22%2C+%22direction%22%3A+%22ASC%22%7D%5D&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2" }, { "teamAbbrevs": "SEA", "goals": 7, "gameWinningGoals": 1, "evGoals": 7, "shPoints": 0, "gamesPlayed": 82, "seasonId": 20242025, "assists": 21, "shots": 112, "evPoints": 28, "positionCode": "D", "playerId": 8476457, "ppPoints": 0, "points": 28, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1271.1463, "ppGoals": 0, "skaterFullName": "Adam Larsson", "shGoals": 0, "shootingPct": 0.0625, "otGoals": 0, "game_type": 2, "stage": "regular", "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=100&limit=1000&sort=%5B%7B%22property%22%3A+%22playerId%22%2C+%22direction%22%3A+%22ASC%22%7D%5D&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2" }, { "teamAbbrevs": "SEA", "goals": 13, "gameWinningGoals": 1, "evGoals": 10, "shPoints": 2, 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"source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=200&limit=1000&sort=%5B%7B%22property%22%3A+%22playerId%22%2C+%22direction%22%3A+%22ASC%22%7D%5D&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2" }, { "teamAbbrevs": "SEA", "goals": 22, "gameWinningGoals": 3, "evGoals": 18, "shPoints": 1, "gamesPlayed": 82, "seasonId": 20242025, "assists": 39, "shots": 202, "evPoints": 44, "positionCode": "L", "playerId": 8477955, "ppPoints": 16, "points": 61, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1032.6463, "ppGoals": 4, "skaterFullName": "Jared McCann", "shGoals": 0, "shootingPct": 0.10891, "otGoals": 1, "game_type": 2, "stage": "regular", "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=200&limit=1000&sort=%5B%7B%22property%22%3A+%22playerId%22%2C+%22direction%22%3A+%22ASC%22%7D%5D&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2" }, { "teamAbbrevs": "SEA", "goals": 18, "gameWinningGoals": 4, "evGoals": 13, "shPoints": 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"source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=300&limit=1000&sort=%5B%7B%22property%22%3A+%22playerId%22%2C+%22direction%22%3A+%22ASC%22%7D%5D&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2" }, { "teamAbbrevs": "NYR,COL", "goals": 4, "gameWinningGoals": 0, "evGoals": 4, "shPoints": 2, "gamesPlayed": 72, "seasonId": 20242025, "assists": 18, "shots": 63, "evPoints": 20, "positionCode": "D", "playerId": 8479324, "ppPoints": 0, "points": 22, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1182.2361, "ppGoals": 0, "skaterFullName": "Ryan Lindgren", "shGoals": 0, "shootingPct": 0.06349, "otGoals": 0, "game_type": 2, "stage": "regular", "source": "https://api.nhle.com/stats/rest/en/skater/summary?isAggregate=false&isGame=false&start=400&limit=1000&sort=%5B%7B%22property%22%3A+%22playerId%22%2C+%22direction%22%3A+%22ASC%22%7D%5D&cayenneExp=seasonId%3D20242025+and+gameTypeId%3D2" }, { "teamAbbrevs": "SEA", "goals": 0, "gameWinningGoals": 0, "evGoals": 0, "shPoints": 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Any player-rate correction would be sensitivity, not calibrated correction.", "numerical_conversion_status": "UNESTIMATED_ALLOWED: no validated incremental run/PPP/goal conversion; no PPG/OPS/points subtraction", "base_scores_away_home": { "Classic": [ 2.849776422764228, 3.290975609756098 ], "Primary": [ 2.7682628061383703, 3.395691080576553 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 2.817065, 3.15853 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 2.817065, 3.15853 ] }, "adjusted_scores_away_home": { "Classic": null, "Primary": null, "Tighten Up ON": null, "Tighten Up OFF": null }, "scores_carried_for_research": { "Classic": [ 2.849776422764228, 3.290975609756098 ], "Primary": [ 2.7682628061383703, 3.395691080576553 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 2.817065, 3.15853 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 2.817065, 3.15853 ] }, "adjusted_score_status": "Base retained as base; adjusted score unestimated. No claim null adjustment is zero.", "gate_outcome": "TRACKING_ONLY_CONDITIONAL", "football_minus3": 0, "sources": [ "https://www.nhl.com/news/seattle-kraken-washington-capitals-game-preview-october-11-2026" ], "collector_source": "C:\\Users\\Owner\\Documents\\EmilyCarter\\output\\Offensive-Replacement-Tracking\\capture-20261011T111921Z", "price_inputs_used": false, "uncertainty": "Conditional role projection; source snapshot is not a confirmed game lineup. 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"gameDate": "2026-10-09", "gameId": 2026020067, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "H", "lastName": "Wilson", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "NYR", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8476880, "positionCode": "R", "ppTimeOnIce": 162, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 162.0, "shTimeOnIce": 134, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 134.0, "shifts": 24, "shiftsPerGame": 24.0, "shootsCatches": "R", "skaterFullName": "Tom Wilson", "teamAbbrev": "WSH", "timeOnIce": 1301, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1301.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 54.20833 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 786, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 786.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-09", "gameId": 2026020067, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "H", "lastName": "Protas", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "NYR", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8481656, "positionCode": "L", "ppTimeOnIce": 0, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shTimeOnIce": 149, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 149.0, "shifts": 18, "shiftsPerGame": 18.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Aliaksei Protas", "teamAbbrev": "WSH", "timeOnIce": 935, "timeOnIcePerGame": 935.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 51.94444 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 1035, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 1035.0, "gameDate": "2026-10-09", "gameId": 2026020067, "gamesPlayed": 1, "homeRoad": "H", "lastName": "Liljegren", "opponentTeamAbbrev": "NYR", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8480043, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 0, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shTimeOnIce": 119, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 119.0, "shifts": 22, "shiftsPerGame": 22.0, "shootsCatches": "R", "skaterFullName": "Timothy Liljegren", "teamAbbrev": "WSH", "timeOnIce": 1154, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1154.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 52.45454 } ], "projected_seconds_by_strength": [ { "player_id": 8475795, "player": "Dylan McIlrath", "EV_seconds": 299, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8479385, "player": "Jordan Kyrou", "EV_seconds": 587, "PP_seconds": 138, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8478440, "player": "Dylan Strome", "EV_seconds": 645, "PP_seconds": 215, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8484186, "player": "Ryan Leonard", "EV_seconds": 660, "PP_seconds": 146, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8476432, "player": "Boone Jenner", "EV_seconds": 736, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 81 }, { "player_id": 8484999, "player": "Ilya Protas", "EV_seconds": 569, "PP_seconds": 88, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8478463, "player": "Anthony Beauvillier", "EV_seconds": 619, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8471214, "player": "Alex Ovechkin", "EV_seconds": 565, "PP_seconds": 272, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8479345, "player": "Jakob Chychrun", "EV_seconds": 1257, "PP_seconds": 224, "SH_seconds": 132 }, { "player_id": 8479576, "player": "Vincent Desharnais", "EV_seconds": 1114, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 161 }, { "player_id": 8477949, "player": "Alex Tuch", "EV_seconds": 896, "PP_seconds": 176, "SH_seconds": 153 }, { "player_id": 8484873, "player": "Cole Hutson", "EV_seconds": 959, "PP_seconds": 139, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8482088, "player": "Justin Sourdif", "EV_seconds": 771, "PP_seconds": 7, "SH_seconds": 69 }, { "player_id": 8479400, "player": "Pierre-Luc Dubois", "EV_seconds": 986, "PP_seconds": 216, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8480796, "player": "Martin Fehervary", "EV_seconds": 1246, "PP_seconds": 17, "SH_seconds": 174 }, { "player_id": 8476880, "player": "Tom Wilson", "EV_seconds": 1005, "PP_seconds": 162, "SH_seconds": 134 }, { "player_id": 8481656, "player": "Aliaksei Protas", "EV_seconds": 786, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 149 }, { "player_id": 8480043, "player": "Timothy Liljegren", "EV_seconds": 1035, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 119 } ], "PP_units": "Unit membership unknown; observed PP seconds retained, not inferred from roster order.", "calculation": "Each player repeats observed same-strength exposure; no goal-rate conversion without supported lineup rates.", "limits": "Special-team total depends on penalties, opponent and game state; not an expectation that identical penalties occur.", "dubois_out_sensitivity": { "status": "ANALYST CONDITIONAL SCENARIO; not announced lineup or predicted coach decision", "condition": "Dubois unavailable; Jenner moves from wing to center; healthy-scratch LW Miroshnichenko dresses into vacated wing role", "role_support": "Official current roster identifies Jenner C, Miroshnichenko L. Official Capitals report explicitly says Jenner can play wing or center. Published projected lineup lists Miroshnichenko scratched, not injured.", "sources": [ "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/roster/WSH/current", "https://frontend.d3.nhle.com/capitals/news/topic/dump-n-chase/excitable-boys", "https://www.nhl.com/news/seattle-kraken-washington-capitals-game-preview-october-11-2026" ], "reference_date": "2026-10-09", "EV_change": { "Dubois_seconds_removed": 986, "Jenner_reference_seconds": 736, "Jenner_conditional_seconds": 986, "Miroshnichenko_conditional_seconds": 736 }, "PP_rule": "Reassign removed Dubois PP seconds across existing non-defense PP participants in proportion to their observed PP exposure. This preserves total PP skater-seconds and uses demonstrated PP participants; unit labels remain unknown.", "PP_changes": [ { "player_id": 8479385, "player": "Jordan Kyrou", "reference_PP_seconds": 138, "conditional_PP_seconds": 162.75747508305648, "delta_seconds": 24.757475083056477 }, { "player_id": 8478440, "player": "Dylan Strome", "reference_PP_seconds": 215, "conditional_PP_seconds": 253.57142857142856, "delta_seconds": 38.571428571428555 }, { "player_id": 8484186, "player": "Ryan Leonard", "reference_PP_seconds": 146, "conditional_PP_seconds": 172.19269102990035, "delta_seconds": 26.192691029900345 }, { "player_id": 8484999, "player": "Ilya Protas", "reference_PP_seconds": 88, "conditional_PP_seconds": 103.7873754152824, "delta_seconds": 15.787375415282398 }, { "player_id": 8471214, "player": "Alex Ovechkin", "reference_PP_seconds": 272, "conditional_PP_seconds": 320.797342192691, "delta_seconds": 48.79734219269102 }, { "player_id": 8477949, "player": "Alex Tuch", "reference_PP_seconds": 176, "conditional_PP_seconds": 207.5747508305648, "delta_seconds": 31.574750830564795 }, { "player_id": 8482088, "player": "Justin Sourdif", "reference_PP_seconds": 7, "conditional_PP_seconds": 8.255813953488373, "delta_seconds": 1.2558139534883725 }, { "player_id": 8476880, "player": "Tom Wilson", "reference_PP_seconds": 162, "conditional_PP_seconds": 191.06312292358803, "delta_seconds": 29.063122923588026 } ], "full_projected_seconds": [ { "player_id": 8475795, "player": "Dylan McIlrath", "EV_seconds": 299, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8479385, "player": "Jordan Kyrou", "EV_seconds": 587, "PP_seconds": 162.75747508305648, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8478440, "player": "Dylan Strome", "EV_seconds": 645, "PP_seconds": 253.57142857142856, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8484186, "player": "Ryan Leonard", "EV_seconds": 660, "PP_seconds": 172.19269102990035, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8476432, "player": "Boone Jenner", "EV_seconds": 986, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 81 }, { "player_id": 8484999, "player": "Ilya Protas", "EV_seconds": 569, "PP_seconds": 103.7873754152824, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8478463, "player": "Anthony Beauvillier", "EV_seconds": 619, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8471214, "player": "Alex Ovechkin", "EV_seconds": 565, "PP_seconds": 320.797342192691, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8479345, "player": "Jakob Chychrun", "EV_seconds": 1257, "PP_seconds": 224, "SH_seconds": 132 }, { "player_id": 8479576, "player": "Vincent Desharnais", "EV_seconds": 1114, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 161 }, { "player_id": 8477949, "player": "Alex Tuch", "EV_seconds": 896, "PP_seconds": 207.5747508305648, "SH_seconds": 153 }, { "player_id": 8484873, "player": "Cole Hutson", "EV_seconds": 959, "PP_seconds": 139, "SH_seconds": 0 }, { "player_id": 8482088, "player": "Justin Sourdif", "EV_seconds": 771, "PP_seconds": 8.255813953488373, "SH_seconds": 69 }, { "player_id": 8480796, "player": "Martin Fehervary", "EV_seconds": 1246, "PP_seconds": 17, "SH_seconds": 174 }, { "player_id": 8476880, "player": "Tom Wilson", "EV_seconds": 1005, "PP_seconds": 191.06312292358803, "SH_seconds": 134 }, { "player_id": 8481656, "player": "Aliaksei Protas", "EV_seconds": 786, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 149 }, { "player_id": 8480043, "player": "Timothy Liljegren", "EV_seconds": 1035, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 119 }, { "player_id": 8483491, "player": "Ivan Miroshnichenko", "EV_seconds": 736, "PP_seconds": 0, "SH_seconds": 0 } ], "reconciliation": { "EV_seconds": { "reference_total": 14735, "out_scenario_total": 14735 }, "PP_seconds": { "reference_total": 1800, "out_scenario_total": 1800.0 }, "SH_seconds": { "reference_total": 1172, "out_scenario_total": 1172 } }, "numerical_goal_conversion": null, "calculation": "By strength state, compare new versus reference offensive lineup rate times affected minutes/60. Rate difference not validated; goal effect unestimated, not zero.", "uncertainty": "Exact lines, shift combinations and unit assignments unknown. This is one plausible supported role chain, not exhaustive; Frank instead of Miroshnichenko or coach reshuffling would require another scenario." } }, "reference_lineup": [ { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8471214, "name": { "default": "A. Ovechkin", "cs": "A. Ove\u010dkin", "fi": "A. Ovetshkin", "sk": "A. Ove\u010dkin" }, "position": "L", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "13:57", "shifts": 15 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8484186, "name": { "default": "R. Leonard" }, "position": "R", "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "points": 1, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "13:26", "shifts": 17 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8478440, "name": { "default": "D. Strome" }, "position": "C", "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "points": 1, "sog": 4, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "14:20", "shifts": 15 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8481656, "name": { "default": "A. Protas" }, "position": "L", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "15:35", "shifts": 18 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8476432, "name": { "default": "B. Jenner" }, "position": "C", "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "points": 1, "sog": 3, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "13:37", "shifts": 21 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8479385, "name": { "default": "J. Kyrou" }, "position": "R", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "12:05", "shifts": 13 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8482088, "name": { "default": "J. Sourdif" }, "position": "C", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "14:07", "shifts": 22 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8476880, "name": { "default": "T. Wilson" }, "position": "R", "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "points": 1, "sog": 3, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "21:41", "shifts": 24 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8484999, "name": { "default": "I. Protas" }, "position": "L", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "10:57", "shifts": 13 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8478463, "name": { "default": "A. Beauvillier" }, "position": "R", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "10:19", "shifts": 14 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8479400, "name": { "default": "P. Dubois" }, "position": "C", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "20:02", "shifts": 21 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8477949, "name": { "default": "A. Tuch" }, "position": "R", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "20:25", "shifts": 22 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8479345, "name": { "default": "J. Chychrun" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 3, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "26:53", "shifts": 24 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8480043, "name": { "default": "T. Liljegren" }, "position": "D", "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "points": 1, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "19:14", "shifts": 22 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8480796, "name": { "default": "M. Feh\u00e9rv\u00e1ry" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "23:57", "shifts": 26 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8484873, "name": { "default": "C. Hutson" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "18:18", "shifts": 22 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8475795, "name": { "default": "D. McIlrath" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "04:59", "shifts": 7 }, { "event_id": 2026020067, "date": "2026-10-09", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "defense", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020067/boxscore", "playerId": 8479576, "name": { "default": "V. Desharnais" }, "position": "D", "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "points": 1, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "21:15", "shifts": 25 } ], "offensive_adjustment": null, "transaction_review_status": "NHL OCT1 BOTH-SIDE LEDGER ATTACHED; others no October trade located in official tracker", "transaction_source": null, "transaction_date": null, "former_team": null, "new_team": null, "trade_player_id": null, "trade_player": null, "pre_trade_role": null, "expected_post_trade_role": null, "trade_offensive_adjustment": null, "trade_defensive_adjustment": null, "trade_adjustment_units": "goals", "adjustment_units": "goals", "reason": "Requires event-specific replacement and transaction confirmation; blank adjustments are unestimated, not zero", "overlay_version": "offensive-replacement-v1", "version": "event-review-2026-10-11-retry-v2", "reviewed_utc": "2026-10-11T11:27:06.352233+00:00", "findings": "Dubois illness creates in/out branch; other centers are candidates only because a replacement was not announced. Roy/Sandin absences and projected defense pairs retained. Goalie remains separate. Retry: official last-game per-strength exposure and separate two prior seasons/current season quantified; unknown PP unit labels retained as unknown. Dubois OUT sensitivity now explicitly reallocates his center slot to roster center/wing Jenner and Jenner wing slot to scratched healthy LW Miroshnichenko; PP redistributed proportionally among observed forward PP participants. Equal strength-state total checks pass. 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Jenner" }, "position": "C", "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "points": 1, "sog": 3, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "14:57", "shifts": 18 }, { "event_id": 2026020024, "date": "2026-10-03", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020024/boxscore", "playerId": 8479385, "name": { "default": "J. Kyrou" }, "position": "R", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "14:45", "shifts": 17 }, { "event_id": 2026020024, "date": "2026-10-03", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020024/boxscore", "playerId": 8482088, "name": { "default": "J. Sourdif" }, "position": "C", "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "points": 1, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "12:24", "shifts": 17 }, { "event_id": 2026020024, "date": "2026-10-03", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020024/boxscore", "playerId": 8476880, "name": { "default": "T. Wilson" }, "position": "R", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "17:49", "shifts": 22 }, { "event_id": 2026020024, "date": "2026-10-03", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020024/boxscore", "playerId": 8484999, "name": { "default": "I. Protas" }, "position": "L", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 0, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "09:55", "shifts": 12 }, { "event_id": 2026020024, "date": "2026-10-03", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020024/boxscore", "playerId": 8479400, "name": { "default": "P. Dubois" }, "position": "C", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 1, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "18:34", "shifts": 22 }, { "event_id": 2026020024, "date": "2026-10-03", "stage": "regular", "team": "WSH", "role": "forwards", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/gamecenter/2026020024/boxscore", "playerId": 8477949, "name": { "default": "A. Tuch" }, "position": "R", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "points": 0, "sog": 2, "powerPlayGoals": 0, "toi": "17:53", "shifts": 22 } ], "reference_date": "2026-10-09", "reference_kind": "latest observed game; not assumed to be engine baseline", "opportunity_status": "CONDITIONAL_EV_PP_SH_WORKLOAD_COMPARISON", "baseline_exposure": "Team score aggregates do not identify player-weighted healthy/reference exposure. Any player-rate correction would be sensitivity, not calibrated correction.", "numerical_conversion_status": "UNESTIMATED_ALLOWED: no validated incremental run/PPP/goal conversion; no PPG/OPS/points subtraction", "base_scores_away_home": { "Classic": [ 2.849776422764228, 3.290975609756098 ], "Primary": [ 2.7682628061383703, 3.395691080576553 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 2.817065, 3.15853 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 2.817065, 3.15853 ] }, "adjusted_scores_away_home": { "Classic": null, "Primary": null, "Tighten Up ON": null, "Tighten Up OFF": null }, "scores_carried_for_research": { "Classic": [ 2.849776422764228, 3.290975609756098 ], "Primary": [ 2.7682628061383703, 3.395691080576553 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 2.817065, 3.15853 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 2.817065, 3.15853 ] }, "adjusted_score_status": "Base retained as base; adjusted score unestimated. No claim null adjustment is zero.", "gate_outcome": "TRACKING_ONLY_CONDITIONAL_IN_OUT_REVIEW_COMPLETE", "football_minus3": 0, "sources": [ "https://www.nhl.com/news/seattle-kraken-washington-capitals-game-preview-october-11-2026", "https://www.nhl.com/capitals/news/caps-clash-with-kraken-x2607", "https://frontend.d3.nhle.com/capitals/news/topic/dump-n-chase/excitable-boys" ], "collector_source": "C:\\Users\\Owner\\Documents\\EmilyCarter\\output\\Offensive-Replacement-Tracking\\capture-20261011T111921Z", "price_inputs_used": false, "uncertainty": "Conditional role projection; source snapshot is not a confirmed game lineup. Aggregate engine baseline has unknown player-weighted exposure; calculations are sensitivities only.", "strength_state_history": { "20242025": [ { "evTimeOnIce": 52867, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 813.33846, "gamesPlayed": 65, "lastName": "Ovechkin", "otTimeOnIce": 919, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 65.64285, "playerId": 8471214, "positionCode": "L", "ppTimeOnIce": 16178, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 248.8923, "seasonId": 20242025, "shTimeOnIce": 80, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 1.23076, "shifts": 1274, "shiftsPerGame": 19.6, "shootsCatches": "R", "skaterFullName": "Alex Ovechkin", "teamAbbrevs": "WSH", "timeOnIce": 69125, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1063.46153, "timeOnIcePerShift": 54.25824 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 11669, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 686.41176, "gamesPlayed": 17, "lastName": "McIlrath", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": 0.0, "playerId": 8475795, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 55, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 3.23529, "seasonId": 20242025, "shTimeOnIce": 165, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 9.70588, "shifts": 283, 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20262027, "shTimeOnIce": 214, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 53.5, "shifts": 74, "shiftsPerGame": 18.5, "shootsCatches": "R", "skaterFullName": "Justin Sourdif", "teamAbbrevs": "WSH", "timeOnIce": 3279, "timeOnIcePerGame": 819.75, "timeOnIcePerShift": 44.31081 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 2765, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 691.25, "gamesPlayed": 4, "lastName": "Leonard", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8484186, "positionCode": "R", "ppTimeOnIce": 452, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 113.0, "seasonId": 20262027, "shTimeOnIce": 0, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shifts": 66, "shiftsPerGame": 16.5, "shootsCatches": "R", "skaterFullName": "Ryan Leonard", "teamAbbrevs": "WSH", "timeOnIce": 3217, "timeOnIcePerGame": 804.25, "timeOnIcePerShift": 48.74242 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 3904, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 976.0, "gamesPlayed": 4, "lastName": "Hutson", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8484873, "positionCode": "D", "ppTimeOnIce": 440, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 110.0, "seasonId": 20262027, "shTimeOnIce": 34, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 8.5, "shifts": 92, "shiftsPerGame": 23.0, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Cole Hutson", "teamAbbrevs": "WSH", "timeOnIce": 4378, "timeOnIcePerGame": 1094.5, "timeOnIcePerShift": 47.58695 }, { "evTimeOnIce": 2301, "evTimeOnIcePerGame": 575.25, "gamesPlayed": 4, "lastName": "Protas", "otTimeOnIce": 0, "otTimeOnIcePerOtGame": null, "playerId": 8484999, "positionCode": "L", "ppTimeOnIce": 347, "ppTimeOnIcePerGame": 86.75, "seasonId": 20262027, "shTimeOnIce": 0, "shTimeOnIcePerGame": 0.0, "shifts": 54, "shiftsPerGame": 13.5, "shootsCatches": "L", "skaterFullName": "Ilya Protas", "teamAbbrevs": "WSH", "timeOnIce": 2648, "timeOnIcePerGame": 662.0, "timeOnIcePerShift": 49.03703 } ] } }, { "sport": "MLB", "event_id": 849809, "team": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "review_status": "CONDITIONAL_OPPORTUNITY_COMPARISON_COMPLETED", "incumbent_id": null, "replacement_ids": null, "expected_opportunities": { "scenario": "Official projected nine, no substitution branch", "opponent_starter_hand": "R", "opponent_starter": "Jacob Misiorowski", "ordered_starters": [ { "slot": 1, "player": "Mookie Betts", "player_id": 605141, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.25, "range": [ 4, 5 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." }, { "slot": 2, "player": "Freddie Freeman", "player_id": 518692, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.25, "range": [ 4, 5 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." }, { "slot": 3, "player": "Will Smith", "player_id": 669257, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.25, "range": [ 4, 5 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." }, { "slot": 4, "player": "Shohei Ohtani", "player_id": 660271, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.0, "range": [ 4, 4 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." }, { "slot": 5, "player": "Max Muncy", "player_id": 571970, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.0, "range": [ 4, 4 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." }, { "slot": 6, "player": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "player_id": 606192, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.0, "range": [ 4, 4 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." }, { "slot": 7, "player": "Kyle Tucker", "player_id": 663656, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.0, "range": [ 4, 4 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." }, { "slot": 8, "player": "Andy Pages", "player_id": 681624, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.0, "range": [ 4, 4 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." }, { "slot": 9, "player": "Tommy Edman", "player_id": 669242, "conditional_slot_PA": 3.5, "range": [ 3, 4 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." } ], "empirical_slot_PA_by_stage": { "D": { "n_games": 4, "slots": { "1": { "mean_PA": 4.25, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 5, 4 ] }, "2": { "mean_PA": 4.25, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 5, 4 ] }, "3": { "mean_PA": 4.25, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 5, 4 ] }, "4": { "mean_PA": 4.0, "observed_range": [ 4, 4 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 4, 4 ] }, "5": { "mean_PA": 4.0, "observed_range": [ 4, 4 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 4, 4 ] }, "6": { "mean_PA": 4.0, "observed_range": [ 4, 4 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 4, 4 ] }, "7": { "mean_PA": 4.0, "observed_range": [ 4, 4 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 4, 4 ] }, "8": { "mean_PA": 4.0, "observed_range": [ 4, 4 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 4, 4 ] }, "9": { "mean_PA": 3.5, "observed_range": [ 3, 4 ], "game_values": [ 3, 4, 4, 3 ] } } }, "R": { "n_games": 8, "slots": { "1": { "mean_PA": 4.75, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 5, 4, 5, 5, 5, 4, 5, 5 ] }, "2": { "mean_PA": 4.625, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 5, 4, 4, 5, 5, 4, 5, 5 ] }, "3": { "mean_PA": 4.5, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 5, 4, 4, 5, 4, 4, 5, 5 ] }, "4": { "mean_PA": 4.375, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 5, 4, 4, 5, 4, 4, 4, 5 ] }, "5": { "mean_PA": 4.25, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 5, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 5 ] }, "6": { "mean_PA": 4.25, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 5, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 5 ] }, "7": { "mean_PA": 4.125, "observed_range": [ 3, 5 ], "game_values": [ 5, 4, 4, 4, 4, 3, 4, 5 ] }, "8": { "mean_PA": 3.875, "observed_range": [ 3, 5 ], "game_values": [ 4, 3, 4, 4, 4, 3, 4, 5 ] }, "9": { "mean_PA": 3.75, "observed_range": [ 3, 4 ], "game_values": [ 4, 3, 4, 4, 4, 3, 4, 4 ] } } } }, "recent_observed_bench_branches": { "Enrique Hern\u00e1ndez": [ { "gamePk": 823899, "stage": "R", "slot": 2, "PA": 0 }, { "gamePk": 823164, "stage": "R", "slot": 3, "PA": 2 }, { "gamePk": 849828, "stage": "D", "slot": 5, "PA": 0 } ], "Alex Call": [ { "gamePk": 823899, "stage": "R", "slot": 6, "PA": 1 }, { "gamePk": 823165, "stage": "R", "slot": 4, "PA": 1 }, { "gamePk": 823164, "stage": "R", "slot": 5, "PA": 2 } ], "Miguel Rojas": [ { "gamePk": 823899, "stage": "R", "slot": 9, "PA": 2 }, { "gamePk": 823894, "stage": "R", "slot": 8, "PA": 1 }, { "gamePk": 823895, "stage": "R", "slot": 6, "PA": 1 }, { "gamePk": 823164, "stage": "R", "slot": 2, "PA": 3 } ], "Will Smith": [ { "gamePk": 823896, "stage": "R", "slot": 9, "PA": 1 } ], "Kyle Tucker": [ { "gamePk": 823896, "stage": "R", "slot": 5, "PA": 1 } ], "Dalton Rushing": [ { "gamePk": 823165, "stage": "R", "slot": 3, "PA": 1 }, { "gamePk": 823164, "stage": "R", "slot": 1, "PA": 2 } ], "Hunter Feduccia": [ { "gamePk": 823165, "stage": "R", "slot": 3, "PA": 1 } ], "Max Muncy": [ { "gamePk": 849823, "stage": "D", "slot": 8, "PA": 3 }, { "gamePk": 849819, "stage": "D", "slot": 3, "PA": 1 } ], "Josue De Paula": [ { "gamePk": 849823, "stage": "D", "slot": 9, "PA": 1 }, { "gamePk": 849822, "stage": "D", "slot": 7, "PA": 1 } ], "Tommy Edman": [ { "gamePk": 849819, "stage": "D", "slot": 6, "PA": 1 }, { "gamePk": 849822, "stage": "D", "slot": 7, "PA": 1 } ], "Hyeseong Kim": [ { "gamePk": 849822, "stage": "D", "slot": 5, "PA": 0 } ] }, "sample": "Last12completed games Sep1-Oct10; stage groups kept separate, postseasonD chosen for conditional PA. No tiny pitcher-batter splits.", "bullpen_hand_mix": "Unknown; do not extrapolate starter handedness to every PA", "substitution_branch": "Any bench appearance transfers observed slot PA from starter to substitute. Rojas absent branch gives0PA; available branch remains bench with no assignedPA until opportunity supported. Starting nine unchanged under either branch." }, "reference_lineup": [ "Mookie Betts", "Freddie Freeman", "Will Smith", "Shohei Ohtani", "Max Muncy", "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "Kyle Tucker", "Andy Pages", "Tommy Edman" ], "offensive_adjustment": null, "transaction_review_status": "MLB BOTH-SIDE LEDGER ATTACHED", "transaction_source": null, "transaction_date": null, "former_team": null, "new_team": null, "trade_player_id": null, "trade_player": null, "pre_trade_role": null, "expected_post_trade_role": null, "trade_offensive_adjustment": null, "trade_defensive_adjustment": null, "trade_adjustment_units": "runs", "adjustment_units": "runs", "reason": "Requires event-specific replacement and transaction confirmation; blank adjustments are unestimated, not zero", "overlay_version": "offensive-replacement-v1", "version": "event-review-2026-10-11-retry-v2", "reviewed_utc": "2026-10-11T11:27:06.352233+00:00", "findings": "Rojas absent from published projected nine even if eligible. Conditional no starting-slot change if Edman remains 2B; 0 starting PA displaced in that specific branch, bench PA unknown. Ohtani/Freeman remain projected starters, no invented substitute or automatic deduction. Official active roster lists Rojas, but roster membership does not prove health. Retry: current projected order, stage-separated empirical slot PA, bench appearance references and separate 2024/2025/2026 handedness samples attached. Unsupported run conversion stays unestimated.", "required_comparison_gaps": [], "incumbent_names": [ "Miguel Rojas", "Shohei Ohtani", "Freddie Freeman" ], "replacement_names": [ "Tommy Edman", "Enrique Hern\u00e1ndez", "Hyeseong Kim" ], "comparison_player_ids": [ 500743, 518692, 571771, 571970, 605141, 606192, 660271, 663656, 669242, 669257, 681624, 691777, 808975 ], "two_season_comparison_rows": [ { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 660271, "player": "Shohei Ohtani", "team_id": 119, "team": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 5, "rbi": 130, "sacBunts": 0, "hits": 197, "gamesPlayed": 159, "babip": ".336", "runs": 134, "triples": 7, "slg": ".646", "atBats": 636, "ops": "1.036", "obp": ".390", "baseOnBalls": 81, "totalBases": 411, "doubles": 38, "homeRuns": 54, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 7, "plateAppearances": 731, "hitByPitch": 6, "avg": ".310", "stolenBases": 59, "strikeOuts": 162, "caughtStealing": 4, "intentionalWalks": 10 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 605141, "player": "Mookie Betts", "team_id": 119, "team": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 4, "rbi": 75, "sacBunts": 0, "hits": 130, "gamesPlayed": 116, "babip": ".294", "runs": 75, "triples": 5, "slg": ".491", "atBats": 450, "ops": ".863", "obp": ".372", "baseOnBalls": 61, "totalBases": 221, "doubles": 24, "homeRuns": 19, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 10, "plateAppearances": 516, "hitByPitch": 1, "avg": ".289", "stolenBases": 16, "strikeOuts": 57, "caughtStealing": 2, "intentionalWalks": 2 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 663656, "player": "Kyle Tucker", "team_id": 117, "team": "Houston Astros", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 2, "rbi": 49, "sacBunts": 0, "hits": 80, "gamesPlayed": 78, "babip": ".282", "runs": 56, "triples": 0, "slg": ".585", "atBats": 277, "ops": ".993", "obp": ".408", "baseOnBalls": 56, "totalBases": 162, "doubles": 13, "homeRuns": 23, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 5, "plateAppearances": 339, "hitByPitch": 1, "avg": ".289", "stolenBases": 11, "strikeOuts": 54, "caughtStealing": 0, "intentionalWalks": 3 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 500743, "player": "Miguel Rojas", "team_id": 119, "team": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 2, "rbi": 36, "sacBunts": 2, "hits": 87, "gamesPlayed": 103, "babip": ".301", "runs": 41, "triples": 0, "slg": ".410", "atBats": 307, "ops": ".747", "obp": ".337", "baseOnBalls": 23, "totalBases": 126, "doubles": 21, "homeRuns": 6, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 8, "plateAppearances": 337, "hitByPitch": 3, "avg": ".283", "stolenBases": 8, "strikeOuts": 34, "caughtStealing": 2, "intentionalWalks": 0 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 518692, "player": "Freddie Freeman", "team_id": 119, "team": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 8, "rbi": 89, "sacBunts": 0, "hits": 153, "gamesPlayed": 147, "babip": ".306", "runs": 81, "triples": 2, "slg": ".476", "atBats": 542, "ops": ".854", "obp": ".378", "baseOnBalls": 78, "totalBases": 258, "doubles": 35, "homeRuns": 22, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 13, "plateAppearances": 638, "hitByPitch": 10, "avg": ".282", "stolenBases": 9, "strikeOuts": 100, "caughtStealing": 2, "intentionalWalks": 9 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 606192, "player": "Teoscar Hern\u00e1ndez", "team_id": 119, "team": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 1, "rbi": 99, "sacBunts": 0, "hits": 160, "gamesPlayed": 154, "babip": ".344", "runs": 84, "triples": 2, "slg": ".501", "atBats": 589, "ops": ".840", "obp": ".339", "baseOnBalls": 53, "totalBases": 295, "doubles": 32, "homeRuns": 33, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 7, "plateAppearances": 652, "hitByPitch": 8, "avg": ".272", "stolenBases": 12, "strikeOuts": 188, "caughtStealing": 3, "intentionalWalks": 3 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 681624, "player": "Andy Pages", "team_id": 119, "team": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 4, "rbi": 46, "sacBunts": 0, "hits": 100, "gamesPlayed": 116, "babip": ".304", "runs": 65, "triples": 1, "slg": ".407", "atBats": 403, "ops": ".712", "obp": ".305", "baseOnBalls": 29, "totalBases": 164, "doubles": 23, "homeRuns": 13, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 8, "plateAppearances": 443, "hitByPitch": 6, "avg": ".248", "stolenBases": 1, "strikeOuts": 108, "caughtStealing": 2, "intentionalWalks": 0 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 669257, "player": "Will Smith", "team_id": 119, "team": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 8, "rbi": 75, "sacBunts": 0, "hits": 118, "gamesPlayed": 128, "babip": ".273", "runs": 77, "triples": 2, "slg": ".433", "atBats": 476, "ops": ".760", "obp": ".327", "baseOnBalls": 51, "totalBases": 206, "doubles": 24, "homeRuns": 20, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 8, "plateAppearances": 544, "hitByPitch": 9, "avg": ".248", "stolenBases": 1, "strikeOuts": 105, "caughtStealing": 1, "intentionalWalks": 6 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 669242, "player": "Tommy Edman", "team_id": 119, "team": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 2, "rbi": 20, "sacBunts": 0, "hits": 33, "gamesPlayed": 37, "babip": ".257", "runs": 20, "triples": 1, "slg": ".417", "atBats": 139, "ops": ".711", "obp": ".294", "baseOnBalls": 11, "totalBases": 58, "doubles": 5, "homeRuns": 6, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 2, "plateAppearances": 153, "hitByPitch": 1, "avg": ".237", "stolenBases": 6, "strikeOuts": 30, "caughtStealing": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 571970, "player": "Max Muncy", "team_id": 119, "team": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "num_teams": 1, "source": 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Any player-rate correction would be sensitivity, not calibrated correction.", "numerical_conversion_status": "UNESTIMATED_ALLOWED: no validated incremental run/PPP/goal conversion; no PPG/OPS/points subtraction", "base_scores_away_home": { "Classic": [ 4.29891975308642, 4.547241512345678 ], "Primary": [ 3.5185595026406236, 3.7445491410366043 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 4.37962962962963, 4.419753086419753 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 4.37962962962963, 4.419753086419753 ] }, "adjusted_scores_away_home": { "Classic": null, "Primary": null, "Tighten Up ON": null, "Tighten Up OFF": null }, "scores_carried_for_research": { "Classic": [ 4.29891975308642, 4.547241512345678 ], "Primary": [ 3.5185595026406236, 3.7445491410366043 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 4.37962962962963, 4.419753086419753 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 4.37962962962963, 4.419753086419753 ] }, "adjusted_score_status": "Base retained as base; adjusted score unestimated. No claim null adjustment is zero.", "gate_outcome": "CONDITIONAL_REVIEW_NUMERIC_CONVERSION_UNESTIMATED", "football_minus3": 0, "sources": [ "https://www.mlb.com/news/dodgers-brewers-nl-championship-series-game-1-starting-lineups-and-pitching-matchup" ], "collector_source": "C:\\Users\\Owner\\Documents\\EmilyCarter\\output\\Offensive-Replacement-Tracking\\capture-20261011T111921Z", "price_inputs_used": false, "uncertainty": "Conditional role projection; source snapshot is not a confirmed game lineup. Aggregate engine baseline has unknown player-weighted exposure; calculations are sensitivities only.", "handedness_comparison": { "2024": [ { "id": 500743, "fullName": "Miguel Rojas", "link": "/api/v1/people/500743", "firstName": "Miguel", "lastName": "Rojas", "primaryNumber": "72", "birthDate": "1989-02-24", "currentAge": 37, "birthCity": "Los Teques", "birthCountry": "Venezuela", "height": "5' 10\"", "weight": 188, "active": true, "primaryPosition": { "code": "4", "name": "Second Base", "type": "Infielder", "abbreviation": "2B" }, "useName": "Miguel", "useLastName": "Rojas", "middleName": "Elias", "boxscoreName": "Rojas, M", "nickName": "Miggy Ro", "gender": "M", "nameMatrilineal": "Naidernoff", "isPlayer": true, "isVerified": true, "stats": [ { "type": { "displayName": "statSplits" }, "group": { "displayName": "hitting" }, "exemptions": [], "splits": [ { "season": "2024", "stat": { "gamesPlayed": 57, "groundOuts": 38, "airOuts": 29, "doubles": 6, "triples": 0, "homeRuns": 2, 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605141, "fullName": "Mookie Betts", "link": "/api/v1/people/605141", "firstName": "Markus", "lastName": "Betts" }, "league": { "id": 104, "name": "National League", "link": "/api/v1/league/104" }, "sport": { "id": 1, "link": "/api/v1/sports/1", "name": "Major League Baseball", "abbreviation": "MLB" }, "gameType": "R", "split": { "code": "vl", "description": "vs Left", "sortOrder": 73 }, "position": { "code": "6", "name": "Shortstop", "type": "Infielder", "abbreviation": "SS" } }, { "season": "2024", "stat": { "gamesPlayed": 108, "groundOuts": 60, "airOuts": 119, "doubles": 16, "triples": 3, "homeRuns": 15, "strikeOuts": 44, "baseOnBalls": 44, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 86, "hitByPitch": 1, "avg": ".280", "atBats": 307, "obp": ".370", "slg": ".498", "ops": ".868", "groundIntoDoublePlay": 4, "groundIntoTriplePlay": 0, "numberOfPitches": 1403, "plateAppearances": 354, "totalBases": 153, "rbi": 51, "leftOnBase": 99, "sacBunts": 0, "sacFlies": 2, "babip": ".284", "groundOutsToAirouts": 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No numerical split coefficient applied because validated league normalization/regression unavailable; small samples not treated as predictive rates." }, { "sport": "MLB", "event_id": 849809, "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "review_status": "CONDITIONAL_OPPORTUNITY_COMPARISON_COMPLETED", "incumbent_id": null, "replacement_ids": null, "expected_opportunities": { "scenario": "Official projected nine, no substitution branch", "opponent_starter_hand": "L", "opponent_starter": "Tarik Skubal", "ordered_starters": [ { "slot": 1, "player": "Jackson Chourio", "player_id": 694192, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.75, "range": [ 4, 5 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." }, { "slot": 2, "player": "Brice Turang", "player_id": 668930, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.5, "range": [ 4, 5 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." }, { "slot": 3, "player": "William Contreras", "player_id": 661388, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.5, "range": [ 4, 5 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." }, { "slot": 4, "player": "Jake Bauers", "player_id": 641343, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.5, "range": [ 4, 5 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." }, { "slot": 5, "player": "Christian Yelich", "player_id": 592885, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.25, "range": [ 4, 5 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." }, { "slot": 6, "player": "Cooper Pratt", "player_id": 806198, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.0, "range": [ 4, 4 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." }, { "slot": 7, "player": "Luis Lara", "player_id": 800325, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.0, "range": [ 4, 4 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." }, { "slot": 8, "player": "Garrett Mitchell", "player_id": 669003, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.0, "range": [ 4, 4 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." }, { "slot": 9, "player": "Joey Ortiz", "player_id": 687401, "conditional_slot_PA": 4.0, "range": [ 4, 4 ], "PA_assignment": "All slot PA to projected starter in no-substitution branch; optional bench branch reallocates, never adds team PA." } ], "empirical_slot_PA_by_stage": { "D": { "n_games": 4, "slots": { "1": { "mean_PA": 4.75, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 4, 5, 5, 5 ] }, "2": { "mean_PA": 4.5, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 5, 5 ] }, "3": { "mean_PA": 4.5, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 5, 5 ] }, "4": { "mean_PA": 4.5, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 5, 5 ] }, "5": { "mean_PA": 4.25, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 5, 4 ] }, "6": { "mean_PA": 4.0, "observed_range": [ 4, 4 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 4, 4 ] }, "7": { "mean_PA": 4.0, "observed_range": [ 4, 4 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 4, 4 ] }, "8": { "mean_PA": 4.0, "observed_range": [ 4, 4 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 4, 4 ] }, "9": { "mean_PA": 4.0, "observed_range": [ 4, 4 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 4, 4 ] } } }, "R": { "n_games": 8, "slots": { "1": { "mean_PA": 4.25, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5, 4, 4 ] }, "2": { "mean_PA": 4.25, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5, 4, 4 ] }, "3": { "mean_PA": 4.25, "observed_range": [ 4, 5 ], "game_values": [ 4, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5, 4, 4 ] }, "4": { "mean_PA": 4.125, "observed_range": [ 3, 5 ], "game_values": [ 3, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5, 4, 4 ] }, "5": { "mean_PA": 4.125, "observed_range": [ 3, 5 ], "game_values": [ 3, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5, 4, 4 ] }, "6": { "mean_PA": 4.125, "observed_range": [ 3, 5 ], "game_values": [ 3, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5, 4, 4 ] }, "7": { "mean_PA": 3.75, "observed_range": [ 3, 4 ], "game_values": [ 3, 4, 4, 3, 4, 4, 4, 4 ] }, "8": { "mean_PA": 3.625, "observed_range": [ 3, 4 ], "game_values": [ 3, 4, 4, 3, 4, 4, 4, 3 ] }, "9": { "mean_PA": 3.375, "observed_range": [ 3, 4 ], "game_values": [ 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 3 ] } } } }, "recent_observed_bench_branches": { "Abner Uribe": [ { "gamePk": 824788, "stage": "R", "slot": 9, "PA": 0 } ], "Aaron Ashby": [ { "gamePk": 824788, "stage": "R", "slot": 9, "PA": 0 } ], "Brice Turang": [ { "gamePk": 824788, "stage": "R", "slot": 6, "PA": 0 } ], "Jackson Chourio": [ { "gamePk": 823411, "stage": "R", "slot": 3, "PA": 2 }, { "gamePk": 823735, "stage": "R", "slot": 8, "PA": 2 } ], "Cooper Pratt": [ { "gamePk": 823735, "stage": "R", "slot": 6, "PA": 1 } ], "Christian Yelich": [ { "gamePk": 823733, "stage": "R", "slot": 5, "PA": 2 } ], "Garrett Mitchell": [ { "gamePk": 823733, "stage": "R", "slot": 8, "PA": 2 } ], "Andrew Vaughn": [ { "gamePk": 849830, "stage": "D", "slot": 5, "PA": 1 }, { "gamePk": 849825, "stage": "D", "slot": 8, "PA": 1 } ], "Joey Ortiz": [ { "gamePk": 849825, "stage": "D", "slot": 9, "PA": 0 } ], "Gary S\u00e1nchez": [ { "gamePk": 849825, "stage": "D", "slot": 9, "PA": 1 } ], "David Hamilton": [ { "gamePk": 849826, "stage": "D", "slot": 9, "PA": 1 } ], "Luis Lara": [ { "gamePk": 849826, "stage": "D", "slot": 3, "PA": 0 } ] }, "sample": "Last12completed games Sep1-Oct10; stage groups kept separate, postseasonD chosen for conditional PA. No tiny pitcher-batter splits.", "bullpen_hand_mix": "Unknown; do not extrapolate starter handedness to every PA", "substitution_branch": "Any bench appearance transfers observed slot PA from starter to substitute. Rojas absent branch gives0PA; available branch remains bench with no assignedPA until opportunity supported. Starting nine unchanged under either branch." }, "reference_lineup": [ "Jackson Chourio", "Brice Turang", "William Contreras", "Jake Bauers", "Christian Yelich", "Cooper Pratt", "Luis Lara", "Garrett Mitchell", "Joey Ortiz" ], "offensive_adjustment": null, "transaction_review_status": "MLB BOTH-SIDE LEDGER ATTACHED", "transaction_source": null, "transaction_date": null, "former_team": null, "new_team": null, "trade_player_id": null, "trade_player": null, "pre_trade_role": null, "expected_post_trade_role": null, "trade_offensive_adjustment": null, "trade_defensive_adjustment": null, "trade_adjustment_units": "runs", "adjustment_units": "runs", "reason": "Requires event-specific replacement and transaction confirmation; blank adjustments are unestimated, not zero", "overlay_version": "offensive-replacement-v1", "version": "event-review-2026-10-11-retry-v2", "reviewed_utc": "2026-10-11T11:27:06.352233+00:00", "findings": "Official preview reports no injury of note; projected left-handed-starter branch has Lara in RF, Bauers 1B. Compare Frelick/Lara and Vaughn/Bauers as lineup/platoon sensitivities; no new injury deduction for an ordinary platoon. Retry: current projected order, stage-separated empirical slot PA, bench appearance references and separate 2024/2025/2026 handedness samples attached. Unsupported run conversion stays unestimated.", "required_comparison_gaps": [], "incumbent_names": [ "Sal Frelick", "Andrew Vaughn" ], "replacement_names": [ "Luis Lara", "Jake Bauers" ], "comparison_player_ids": [ 592885, 641343, 661388, 668930, 669003, 683734, 686217, 687401, 694192, 800325, 806198 ], "two_season_comparison_rows": [ { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 592885, "player": "Christian Yelich", "team_id": 158, "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 1, "rbi": 42, "sacBunts": 1, "hits": 85, "gamesPlayed": 73, "babip": ".366", "runs": 44, "triples": 3, "slg": ".504", "atBats": 270, "ops": ".910", "obp": ".406", "baseOnBalls": 40, "totalBases": 136, "doubles": 12, "homeRuns": 11, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 3, "plateAppearances": 315, "hitByPitch": 2, "avg": ".315", "stolenBases": 21, "strikeOuts": 58, "caughtStealing": 1, "intentionalWalks": 3 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 661388, "player": "William Contreras", "team_id": 158, "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 3, "rbi": 92, "sacBunts": 0, "hits": 167, "gamesPlayed": 155, "babip": ".330", "runs": 99, "triples": 2, "slg": ".466", "atBats": 595, "ops": ".831", "obp": ".365", "baseOnBalls": 78, "totalBases": 277, "doubles": 37, "homeRuns": 23, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 19, "plateAppearances": 679, "hitByPitch": 3, "avg": ".281", "stolenBases": 9, "strikeOuts": 139, "caughtStealing": 2, "intentionalWalks": 5 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 694192, "player": "Jackson Chourio", "team_id": 158, "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 2, "rbi": 79, "sacBunts": 1, "hits": 145, "gamesPlayed": 148, "babip": ".320", "runs": 80, "triples": 4, "slg": ".464", "atBats": 528, "ops": ".791", "obp": ".327", "baseOnBalls": 39, "totalBases": 245, "doubles": 29, "homeRuns": 21, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 7, "plateAppearances": 573, "hitByPitch": 3, "avg": ".275", "stolenBases": 22, "strikeOuts": 121, "caughtStealing": 7, "intentionalWalks": 4 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 686217, "player": "Sal Frelick", "team_id": 158, "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 1, "rbi": 32, "sacBunts": 2, "hits": 123, "gamesPlayed": 145, "babip": ".306", "runs": 66, "triples": 4, "slg": ".335", "atBats": 475, "ops": ".655", "obp": ".320", "baseOnBalls": 39, "totalBases": 159, "doubles": 22, "homeRuns": 2, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 8, "plateAppearances": 524, "hitByPitch": 4, "avg": ".259", "stolenBases": 18, "strikeOuts": 78, "caughtStealing": 3, "intentionalWalks": 0 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 669003, "player": "Garrett Mitchell", "team_id": 158, "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 0, "rbi": 21, "sacBunts": 2, "hits": 50, "gamesPlayed": 69, "babip": ".359", "runs": 33, "triples": 3, "slg": ".469", "atBats": 196, "ops": ".811", "obp": ".342", "baseOnBalls": 25, "totalBases": 92, "doubles": 12, "homeRuns": 8, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 1, "plateAppearances": 224, "hitByPitch": 1, "avg": ".255", "stolenBases": 11, "strikeOuts": 71, "caughtStealing": 4, "intentionalWalks": 0 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 668930, "player": "Brice Turang", "team_id": 158, "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 3, "rbi": 57, "sacBunts": 5, "hits": 142, "gamesPlayed": 155, "babip": ".300", "runs": 72, "triples": 4, "slg": ".349", "atBats": 559, "ops": ".665", "obp": ".316", "baseOnBalls": 50, "totalBases": 195, "doubles": 24, "homeRuns": 7, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 8, "plateAppearances": 619, "hitByPitch": 2, "avg": ".254", "stolenBases": 50, "strikeOuts": 105, "caughtStealing": 6, "intentionalWalks": 1 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 683734, "player": "Andrew Vaughn", "team_id": 145, "team": "Chicago White Sox", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 5, "rbi": 70, "sacBunts": 0, "hits": 140, "gamesPlayed": 149, "babip": ".285", "runs": 55, "triples": 1, "slg": ".402", "atBats": 570, "ops": ".699", "obp": ".297", "baseOnBalls": 38, "totalBases": 229, "doubles": 30, "homeRuns": 19, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 13, "plateAppearances": 619, "hitByPitch": 6, "avg": ".246", "stolenBases": 2, "strikeOuts": 132, "caughtStealing": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 687401, "player": "Joey Ortiz", "team_id": 158, "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 6, "rbi": 60, "sacBunts": 3, "hits": 105, "gamesPlayed": 142, "babip": ".283", "runs": 58, "triples": 6, "slg": ".398", "atBats": 440, "ops": ".727", "obp": ".329", "baseOnBalls": 56, "totalBases": 175, "doubles": 25, "homeRuns": 11, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 10, "plateAppearances": 511, "hitByPitch": 6, "avg": ".239", "stolenBases": 11, "strikeOuts": 103, "caughtStealing": 6, "intentionalWalks": 0 }, { "season": 2024, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 641343, "player": "Jake Bauers", "team_id": 158, "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2024&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 0, "rbi": 43, "sacBunts": 0, "hits": 60, "gamesPlayed": 117, "babip": ".279", "runs": 45, "triples": 2, "slg": ".361", "atBats": 302, "ops": ".662", "obp": ".301", "baseOnBalls": 39, "totalBases": 109, "doubles": 9, "homeRuns": 12, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 0, "plateAppearances": 346, "hitByPitch": 5, "avg": ".199", "stolenBases": 13, "strikeOuts": 118, "caughtStealing": 1, "intentionalWalks": 1 }, { "season": 2025, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 686217, "player": "Sal Frelick", "team_id": 158, "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2025&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 5, "rbi": 63, "sacBunts": 3, "hits": 152, "gamesPlayed": 142, "babip": ".317", "runs": 76, "triples": 3, "slg": ".405", "atBats": 528, "ops": ".756", "obp": ".351", "baseOnBalls": 47, "totalBases": 214, "doubles": 20, "homeRuns": 12, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 4, "plateAppearances": 594, "hitByPitch": 7, "avg": ".288", "stolenBases": 19, "strikeOuts": 80, "caughtStealing": 6, "intentionalWalks": 0 }, { "season": 2025, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 668930, "player": "Brice Turang", "team_id": 158, "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2025&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 5, "rbi": 81, "sacBunts": 2, "hits": 168, "gamesPlayed": 156, "babip": ".356", "runs": 97, "triples": 2, "slg": ".435", "atBats": 584, "ops": ".794", "obp": ".359", "baseOnBalls": 66, "totalBases": 254, "doubles": 28, "homeRuns": 18, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 3, "plateAppearances": 659, "hitByPitch": 2, "avg": ".288", "stolenBases": 24, "strikeOuts": 150, "caughtStealing": 8, "intentionalWalks": 1 }, { "season": 2025, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 694192, "player": "Jackson Chourio", "team_id": 158, "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2025&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 6, "rbi": 78, "sacBunts": 1, "hits": 148, "gamesPlayed": 131, "babip": ".308", "runs": 88, "triples": 4, "slg": ".463", "atBats": 549, "ops": ".771", "obp": ".308", "baseOnBalls": 30, "totalBases": 254, "doubles": 35, "homeRuns": 21, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 13, "plateAppearances": 589, "hitByPitch": 3, "avg": ".270", "stolenBases": 21, "strikeOuts": 121, "caughtStealing": 7, "intentionalWalks": 1 }, { "season": 2025, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 592885, "player": "Christian Yelich", "team_id": 158, "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2025&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 1, "rbi": 103, "sacBunts": 0, "hits": 151, "gamesPlayed": 150, "babip": ".323", "runs": 88, "triples": 0, "slg": ".452", "atBats": 573, "ops": ".795", "obp": ".343", "baseOnBalls": 64, "totalBases": 259, "doubles": 21, "homeRuns": 29, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 6, "plateAppearances": 644, "hitByPitch": 6, "avg": ".264", "stolenBases": 16, "strikeOuts": 167, "caughtStealing": 6, "intentionalWalks": 6 }, { "season": 2025, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 661388, "player": "William Contreras", "team_id": 158, "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2025&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 6, "rbi": 76, "sacBunts": 0, "hits": 147, 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"strikeOuts": 80, "caughtStealing": 0, "intentionalWalks": 0 }, { "season": 2025, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 641343, "player": "Jake Bauers", "team_id": 158, "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "num_teams": 1, "source": "https://statsapi.mlb.com/api/v1/stats?stats=season&group=hitting&season=2025&sportIds=1&playerPool=ALL&gameType=R&limit=10000", "sacFlies": 1, "rbi": 28, "sacBunts": 0, "hits": 43, "gamesPlayed": 86, "babip": ".305", "runs": 28, "triples": 0, "slg": ".399", "atBats": 183, "ops": ".752", "obp": ".353", "baseOnBalls": 32, "totalBases": 73, "doubles": 9, "homeRuns": 7, "groundIntoDoublePlay": 1, "plateAppearances": 218, "hitByPitch": 2, "avg": ".235", "stolenBases": 8, "strikeOuts": 59, "caughtStealing": 1, "intentionalWalks": 1 }, { "season": 2025, "stage": "regular", "player_id": 687401, "player": "Joey Ortiz", "team_id": 158, "team": "Milwaukee Brewers", "num_teams": 1, "source": 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"caughtStealing": 3, "intentionalWalks": 1 } ], "reference_date": "Official preview updated2026-10-11T06:45Z, projected", "reference_kind": "projected lineup", "opportunity_status": "PROJECTED_ORDER_AND_EMPIRICAL_SLOT_PA_COMPARISON", "baseline_exposure": "Team score aggregates do not identify player-weighted healthy/reference exposure. Any player-rate correction would be sensitivity, not calibrated correction.", "numerical_conversion_status": "UNESTIMATED_ALLOWED: no validated incremental run/PPP/goal conversion; no PPG/OPS/points subtraction", "base_scores_away_home": { "Classic": [ 4.29891975308642, 4.547241512345678 ], "Primary": [ 3.5185595026406236, 3.7445491410366043 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 4.37962962962963, 4.419753086419753 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 4.37962962962963, 4.419753086419753 ] }, "adjusted_scores_away_home": { "Classic": null, "Primary": null, "Tighten Up ON": null, "Tighten Up OFF": null }, "scores_carried_for_research": { "Classic": [ 4.29891975308642, 4.547241512345678 ], "Primary": [ 3.5185595026406236, 3.7445491410366043 ], "Tighten Up ON": [ 4.37962962962963, 4.419753086419753 ], "Tighten Up OFF": [ 4.37962962962963, 4.419753086419753 ] }, "adjusted_score_status": "Base retained as base; adjusted score unestimated. No claim null adjustment is zero.", "gate_outcome": "CONDITIONAL_REVIEW_NUMERIC_CONVERSION_UNESTIMATED", "football_minus3": 0, "sources": [ "https://www.mlb.com/news/dodgers-brewers-nl-championship-series-game-1-starting-lineups-and-pitching-matchup" ], "collector_source": "C:\\Users\\Owner\\Documents\\EmilyCarter\\output\\Offensive-Replacement-Tracking\\capture-20261011T111921Z", "price_inputs_used": false, "uncertainty": "Conditional role projection; source snapshot is not a confirmed game lineup. 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{ "id": 158, "name": "Milwaukee Brewers", "link": "/api/v1/teams/158" }, "player": { "id": 806198, "fullName": "Cooper Pratt", "link": "/api/v1/people/806198", "firstName": "Cooper", "lastName": "Pratt" }, "league": { "id": 104, "name": "National League", "link": "/api/v1/league/104" }, "sport": { "id": 1, "link": "/api/v1/sports/1", "name": "Major League Baseball", "abbreviation": "MLB" }, "gameType": "R", "split": { "code": "vl", "description": "vs Left", "sortOrder": 73 }, "position": { "code": "6", "name": "Shortstop", "type": "Infielder", "abbreviation": "SS" } }, { "season": "2026", "stat": { "gamesPlayed": 63, "groundOuts": 46, "airOuts": 44, "doubles": 7, "triples": 1, "homeRuns": 2, "strikeOuts": 33, "baseOnBalls": 20, "intentionalWalks": 0, "hits": 52, "hitByPitch": 1, "avg": ".306", "atBats": 170, "obp": ".374", "slg": ".394", "ops": ".768", "groundIntoDoublePlay": 7, "groundIntoTriplePlay": 0, "numberOfPitches": 774, "plateAppearances": 196, "totalBases": 67, "rbi": 24, 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